Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 08/11, 16:30

Prediction: GOSK Gabela vs HNK Capljina

Team pages: GOSK Gabela · HNK Capljina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

GOSK Gabela2.16

HNK Capljina0.52

1X2

76% 17% 8%

GOSK Gabela Draw HNK Capljina

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

GOSK Gabela 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLDLDWL

HNK Capljina 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLDLL

Head-to-head

GOSK Gabela 3–1–2 HNK Capljina (6 last)

HNK Capljina0-1GOSK Gabela
GOSK Gabela1-0HNK Capljina
HNK Capljina2-1GOSK Gabela
HNK Capljina2-0GOSK Gabela
GOSK Gabela2-0HNK Capljina
HNK Capljina0-0GOSK Gabela

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GOSK Gabela 1499 · HNK Capljina 1446

	GOSK Gabela	Draw	HNK Capljina
Our model	75%	19%	7%
Market	76%	16%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GOSK Gabela (rating 1499 vs 1446).
H2H favours GOSK Gabela: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GOSK Gabela	HNK Capljina
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.9	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.1	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/33/0%	0/86/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.2	1.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.18

X5.75

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.98

2 (+2)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:46 +2’	1.18	5.75	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · GOSK Gabela 3–1–2 HNK Capljina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/21 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	HNK Capljina	0-1	GOSK Gabela
16/08/20 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	GOSK Gabela	1-0	HNK Capljina
07/09/19 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	HNK Capljina	2-1 HT 0-1	GOSK Gabela
18/03/17 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	HNK Capljina	2-0	GOSK Gabela
21/08/16 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	GOSK Gabela	2-0	HNK Capljina
07/05/16 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	HNK Capljina	0-0	GOSK Gabela

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Laktasi	14	11	1	2	44	11	34
2	Leotar	13	10	3	0	32	6	33
3	FK Kozara Gradiska	14	7	3	4	20	12	24
4	FK Drina Zvornik	14	6	4	4	28	14	22
5	FK Majevica Lopare	14	6	4	4	27	17	22
6	FK Rudar Prijedor	14	6	3	5	19	21	21
7	FK Potkozarje	14	6	2	6	15	16	20
8	Romanija Pale	14	6	1	7	23	29	19
9	Slavija Sarajevo	14	4	5	5	15	21	17
10	FK Famos Vojkovici	14	5	2	7	15	24	17
11	FK Omarska	14	3	4	7	11	20	13
12	Sutjeska Foca	13	3	2	8	8	22	11
13	FC Velez Nevesinje	14	3	2	9	11	36	11
14	Zvijezda 09	14	2	2	10	11	30	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GOSK Gabela	HNK Capljina
FK Igman Konjic	0-1 L	0-4 L
Bratstvo Gracanica	2-0 W	2-1 W
HSK Posusje	0-1 L	0-1 L
FK Radnik Hadzici	1-0 W	1-2 L
NK Zvijezda Gradacac	1-0 W	1-4 L
NK Tosk Tesanj	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: GOSK Gabela (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GOSK Gabela

WWWLLDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-1	–	–	L
25/10	Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
18/10	NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-1	3	9	D
11/10	Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	1-2	5	3	L
03/10	NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	2-1	2-2	5	9	D
27/09	Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
20/09	HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
12/09	FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
06/09	NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
30/08	NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	1-0	5	4	W

HNK Capljina

WLLLLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	1-2	13	3	L
24/10	NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-4	–	–	L
17/10	NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-1	1	9	D
10/10	Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
03/10	HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	4-2	3	6	W
26/09	NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
19/09	Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-2	6	7	L
12/09	HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-4	–	–	L
29/08	Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	2-1	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GOSK Gabela vs HNK Capljina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GOSK Gabela win (76%). Probabilities: GOSK Gabela 76%, draw 17%, HNK Capljina 8%.

How many goals are expected in GOSK Gabela vs HNK Capljina?

The model expects 2.68 goals (GOSK Gabela 2.16 · HNK Capljina 0.52), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in GOSK Gabela vs HNK Capljina?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.