Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 21/10, 16:00

Prediction: Aalesunds FK 2 vs Nardo

Team pages: Aalesunds FK 2 · Nardo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.76Total

Aalesunds FK 22.2

Nardo2.57

1X2

34% 20% 47%

Aalesunds FK 2 Draw Nardo

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 65%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Aalesunds FK 2 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDLLWD

Nardo 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Aalesunds FK 2 3–2 Nardo (5 last)

Nardo5-1Aalesunds FK 2
Aalesunds FK 24-1Nardo
Nardo2-3Aalesunds FK 2
Aalesunds FK 21-0Nardo
Nardo1-0Aalesunds FK 2

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nardo (rating 1459 vs 1570).
H2H favours Aalesunds FK 2: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aalesunds FK 2	Nardo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.5	3.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.9	2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	1.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 51.90

Under 51.83

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 4.65

Market movement

Match winner · 10 moves · last 16:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.97 → 1.75▼	Pinn 1.75
X	3.97 → 5.43▲	Pinn 5.43
2	1.86 → 2.80▲	Pinn 2.80

See the full journey (10)

Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
05:19 +43’	2.97	3.97	1.86
07:12 +50’	2.20▼	4.35▲	2.14▲
08:53 +9’	2.08▼	4.47▲	2.35▲
09:43 +20’	1.94▼	4.48▲	2.41▲
10:44 +17’	2.06▲	4.83▲	2.18▼
12:01 +1’	1.96▼	5.08▲	2.35▲
12:59 +3’	1.72▼	5.18▲	2.64▲
13:32 +31’	1.53▼	5.38▲	3.17▲
14:58 +5’	1.57▲	5.38	3.14▼
15:53 +8’	1.75▲	5.43▲	2.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aalesunds FK 2 3–0–2 Nardo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Nardo	5-1 HT 1-0	Aalesunds FK 2
14/09/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Aalesunds FK 2	4-1 HT 3-0	Nardo
29/04/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Nardo	2-3 HT 1-1	Aalesunds FK 2
14/09/15 Norway Division 2 Group 4	Aalesunds FK 2	1-0 HT 1-0	Nardo
01/06/15 Norway Division 2 Group 4	Nardo	1-0 HT 1-0	Aalesunds FK 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Strindheim	24	16	4	4	70	31	52
2	Volda	24	16	4	4	63	25	52
3	Melhus	24	12	5	7	55	29	41
4	Byåsen	24	12	4	8	56	46	40
5	Molde 2	24	10	5	9	64	75	35
6	Rosenborg 2	24	10	4	10	54	45	34
7	Nardo	23	10	2	11	61	47	32
8	Herd	24	9	5	10	49	56	32
9	Spjelkavik	24	8	5	11	44	52	29
10	NTNUI	24	7	6	11	35	54	27
11	Ranheim 2	24	7	5	12	60	77	26
12	Kvik Trondheim	24	7	5	12	35	56	26
13	Aalesunds FK 2	23	7	3	13	42	65	24
14	Orkla	24	5	5	14	40	70	20

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aalesunds FK 2	Nardo
Byåsen	3-3 D	3-1 W
Melhus	1-0 W	1-3 L
NTNUI	1-3 L	5-2 W
Rosenborg 2	1-7 L	5-2 W
Spjelkavik	3-2 W	4-2 W
Molde 2	2-3 L	3-0 W
Herd	3-0 W	11-0 W
Strindheim	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Nardo (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aalesunds FK 2

LWLLWDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	3-3	–	–	D
12/10	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
03/10	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
25/09	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	1-7	0	2	L
20/09	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
14/09	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-1	3-2	5	3	W
07/09	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	2-3	3	3	L
17/08	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	2-3	4	4	L
10/08	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
03/08	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	5	0	L

Nardo

WLLWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	8-0	11-0	4	1	W
10/10	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	3-1	1	5	W
03/10	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
26/09	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	5-2	–	–	W
21/09	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	4-1	6	3	W
13/09	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	5-2	4	1	W
05/09	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	4-2	5	2	W
15/08	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
08/08	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
03/08	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	3-0	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aalesunds FK 2 vs Nardo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nardo win (47%). Probabilities: Aalesunds FK 2 34%, draw 20%, Nardo 47%.

How many goals are expected in Aalesunds FK 2 vs Nardo?

The model expects 4.76 goals (Aalesunds FK 2 2.2 · Nardo 2.57), with a 54% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in Aalesunds FK 2 vs Nardo?

The model gives a 65% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.