Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 24/10, 15:30

Prediction: Herd vs Strindheim

Team pages: Herd · Strindheim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.75Total

Herd1.99

Strindheim2.75

1X2

27% 19% 54%

Herd Draw Strindheim

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

1-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Herd 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Strindheim 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Herd 0–1 Strindheim (1 last)

Strindheim4-2Herd

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Strindheim (rating 1436 vs 1605).
High corners: 16.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Herd	Strindheim
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 3.5	3.7 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.9	1.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.8	2.4 / 10.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 51.90

Under 51.78

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:55

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	10.36 → 11.36▲	Pinn 11.36
X	7.49 → 7.89▲	Pinn 7.89
2	1.12 → 1.10▼	Pinn 1.10

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:44 +2’	10.36	7.49	1.12
05:35 +20’	11.36▲	7.89▲	1.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Herd 0–0–1 Strindheim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Strindheim	4-2 HT 4-0	Herd

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Strindheim	24	16	4	4	70	31	52
2	Volda	24	16	4	4	63	25	52
3	Melhus	24	12	5	7	55	29	41
4	Byåsen	24	12	4	8	56	46	40
5	Molde 2	24	10	5	9	64	75	35
6	Rosenborg 2	24	10	4	10	54	45	34
7	Nardo	24	10	3	11	64	50	33
8	Herd	24	9	5	10	49	56	32
9	Spjelkavik	24	8	5	11	44	52	29
10	NTNUI	24	7	6	11	35	54	27
11	Ranheim 2	24	7	5	12	60	77	26
12	Kvik Trondheim	24	7	5	12	35	56	26
13	Aalesunds FK 2	24	7	4	13	45	68	25
14	Orkla	24	5	5	14	40	70	20

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Herd	Strindheim
Nardo	0-11 L	1-0 W
Spjelkavik	2-1 W	4-0 W
Molde 2	2-6 L	10-0 W
Kvik Trondheim	0-0 D	1-0 W
Byåsen	1-6 L	2-1 W
Orkla	2-2 D	7-0 W
Melhus	1-4 L	1-0 W
NTNUI	1-2 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	8 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Strindheim (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Herd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-8	0-11	6	1	L
09/10	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-1	9	6	W
02/10	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	2-6	2	1	L
26/09	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
19/09	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-5	1-6	6	2	L
12/09	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	2-2	5	7	D
05/09	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-4	8	1	L
30/08	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	1-2	4	3	L
15/08	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	9-0	6	2	W
10/08	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-3	–	–	L

Strindheim

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-0	7-0	21	3	W
12/10	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	5-1	14	3	W
03/10	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
26/09	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	5-0	10-0	–	–	W
19/09	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
12/09	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
05/09	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
30/08	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-0	4-0	3	1	W
08/08	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Herd vs Strindheim?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Strindheim win (54%). Probabilities: Herd 27%, draw 19%, Strindheim 54%.

How many goals are expected in Herd vs Strindheim?

The model expects 4.75 goals (Herd 1.99 · Strindheim 2.75), with a 55% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in Herd vs Strindheim?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.