Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 25/10, 14:00

Prediction: Byåsen vs Molde 2

Team pages: Byåsen · Molde 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.73Total

Byåsen3.23

Molde 21.5

1X2

71% 14% 15%

Byåsen Draw Molde 2

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

3-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Byåsen 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWWLD

Molde 2 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWLWWL

Head-to-head

Byåsen 2–1–3 Molde 2 (6 last)

Molde 26-6Byåsen
Byåsen2-1Molde 2
Molde 23-2Byåsen
Byåsen0-2Molde 2
Byåsen4-2Molde 2
Molde 23-2Byåsen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Byåsen 1550 · Molde 2 1515

	Byåsen	Draw	Molde 2
Our model	71%	15%	14%
Market	72%	13%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 4.73 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Molde 2: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Byåsen	Molde 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.2	2.7 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	1.3 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/0/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.7	2.5 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.27

X7.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.98

2 (+2.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.82

Under 4.751.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.7

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 13:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.27▼	Bet365 1.27
X	5.00 → 7.00▲	Bet365 7.00
2	3.30 → 6.00▲	Pinn 6.38 ★

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 9.7% Pinnacle margin 15.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:01 +2’	1.65	5.00	3.30
05:04 +7’	1.55▼	5.25▲	3.75▲
07:02 +3’	1.48▼	5.25	4.33▲
11:00 +6’	1.36▼	5.75▲	5.25▲
12:01 +6’	1.40▲	5.75	4.75▼
13:37 +3’	1.27▼	7.00▲	6.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:25 +45’	1.44	4.92	4.39
10:25 +41’	1.32▼	5.37▲	5.31▲
12:01 +5’	1.32▲	5.51▲	5.45▲
13:34 +6’	1.20▼	6.17▲	6.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 4.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Byåsen 2–1–3 Molde 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Molde 2	6-6 HT 2-0	Byåsen
09/08/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Byåsen	2-1 HT 1-1	Molde 2
31/05/25 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Molde 2	3-2 HT 2-1	Byåsen
02/10/21 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Byåsen	0-2 HT 0-1	Molde 2
18/09/16 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Byåsen	4-2 HT 1-2	Molde 2
29/05/16 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Molde 2	3-2 HT 0-1	Byåsen

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Strindheim	25	17	4	4	74	31	55
2	Volda	25	17	4	4	67	26	55
3	Melhus	25	12	6	7	56	30	42
4	Byåsen	24	12	4	8	56	46	40
5	Molde 2	24	10	5	9	64	75	35
6	Rosenborg 2	24	10	4	10	54	45	34
7	Nardo	25	10	3	12	66	53	33
8	Herd	25	9	5	11	49	60	32
9	Spjelkavik	25	8	5	12	45	56	29
10	NTNUI	25	7	7	11	36	55	28
11	Ranheim 2	24	7	5	12	60	77	26
12	Kvik Trondheim	24	7	5	12	35	56	26
13	Aalesunds FK 2	24	7	4	13	45	68	25
14	Orkla	25	6	5	14	43	72	23

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Byåsen	Molde 2
Aalesunds FK 2	3-3 D	3-2 W
Kvik Trondheim	2-1 W	6-3 W
Herd	6-1 W	6-2 W
Ranheim 2	4-1 W	3-2 W
Strindheim	1-2 L	0-10 L
Rosenborg 2	2-1 W	3-0 W
Volda	0-0 D	0-4 L
NTNUI	3-0 W	4-4 D
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Byåsen (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Byåsen

WDWLWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	3-3	–	–	D
10/10	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	1-3	5	5	L
03/10	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
26/09	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-0	3-0	8	2	W
19/09	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	5-0	6-1	4	2	W
13/09	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-1	4-1	3	0	W
05/09	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	1-2	2	4	L
31/08	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
15/08	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
08/08	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	3-0	0	4	W

Molde 2

WWLWDWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
12/10	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
02/10	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	6-2	10	1	W
26/09	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-5	0-10	–	–	L
20/09	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-3	4-4	–	–	D
07/09	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	3-2	7	3	W
31/08	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	1-3	6	2	L
17/08	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	3-0	3	1	W
09/08	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-1	6-3	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Byåsen vs Molde 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Byåsen win (71%). Probabilities: Byåsen 71%, draw 14%, Molde 2 15%.

How many goals are expected in Byåsen vs Molde 2?

The model expects 4.73 goals (Byåsen 3.23 · Molde 2 1.5), with a 51% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Byåsen vs Molde 2?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.