Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 14/10, 19:00
Prediction: Asker vs Frigg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.77Total
Asker3.38
Frigg1.38
1X2
Asker
Draw
Frigg
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Asker
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Frigg
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Asker
5–1
Frigg
(6 last)
- Frigg1-2Asker
- Asker6-0Frigg
- Frigg3-1Asker
- Asker6-1Frigg
- Frigg0-2Asker
- Asker3-0Frigg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Asker 1598 · Frigg 1460
| Asker | Draw | Frigg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 76% | 13% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.77 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asker (rating 1598 vs 1460).
- H2H favours Asker: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Asker | Frigg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.8 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.9 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.3 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Asker 5–0–1 Frigg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Frigg | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Asker |
| 15/02/25 Europe Friendlies | Asker | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Frigg |
| 24/08/24 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Frigg | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Asker |
| 20/04/24 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Asker | 6-1 HT 2-0 | Frigg |
| 28/08/22 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Frigg | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Asker |
| 24/07/22 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Asker | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Frigg |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asker | 22 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 78 | 31 | 58 |
| 2 | Gamle Oslo | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 70 | 42 | 44 |
| 3 | Heming | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 60 | 38 | 44 |
| 4 | Valerenga 2 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 56 | 57 | 43 |
| 5 | IF Ready | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 43 | 39 |
| 6 | Baerum | 23 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 64 | 45 | 35 |
| 7 | FK Union Carl Berner | 23 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 35 |
| 8 | Frigg | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 49 | 33 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 43 | 67 | 26 |
| 10 | Ullern | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 60 | 23 |
| 11 | KFUM 2 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 66 | 22 |
| 12 | Grei | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 72 | 22 |
| 13 | Nordstrand | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 52 | 20 |
| 14 | Konnerud | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 36 | 62 | 17 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Asker | Frigg |
|---|---|---|
| Nordstrand | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Gamle Oslo | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Ullern | 6-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Heming | 5-2 W | 1-5 L |
| Valerenga 2 | 5-4 W | 1-4 L |
| IF Ready | 3-0 W | 5-2 W |
| FK Union Carl Berner | 2-1 W | 2-6 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Asker (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Asker
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
3-1 | 4-2 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
4-0 | 7-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
3-1 | 6-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 5-4 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/07 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frigg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-5 | 2-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 5-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/07 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Asker vs Frigg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Asker win (75%). Probabilities: Asker 75%, draw 13%, Frigg 11%.
How many goals are expected in Asker vs Frigg?
The model expects 4.77 goals (Asker 3.38 · Frigg 1.38), with a 54% chance of under 5 goals.
Will both teams score in Asker vs Frigg?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.