Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Asker vs FK Union Carl Berner

Team pages: Asker · FK Union Carl Berner

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.45Total

Asker2.68

FK Union Carl Berner1.77

1X2

57% 19% 24%

Asker Draw FK Union Carl Berner

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Asker 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLWWW

FK Union Carl Berner 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWDWLW

Head-to-head

Asker 1–0 FK Union Carl Berner (1 last)

FK Union Carl Berner1-2Asker

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asker (rating 1597 vs 1516).
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Asker	FK Union Carl Berner
Goals for / against (FT)	3.9 / 2.1	2.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	2.1 / 0.5	1.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/20/0%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.4	2.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.87

Under 4.251.84

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 4.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:29

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.32	Pinn 1.32
X	5.30 → 5.30	Pinn 5.30
2	5.53 → 5.53	Pinn 5.53

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:11 +17’	1.32	5.30	5.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Asker 1–0–0 FK Union Carl Berner

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1	FK Union Carl Berner	1-2 HT 0-1	Asker

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Asker	24	21	1	2	84	35	64
2	Heming	24	14	5	5	62	38	47
3	Gamle Oslo	24	14	2	8	71	44	44
4	Valerenga 2	24	14	1	9	56	61	43
5	IF Ready	24	11	6	7	60	46	39
6	Baerum	24	12	2	10	66	46	38
7	FK Union Carl Berner	24	12	2	10	44	36	38
8	Frigg	24	9	6	9	53	58	33
9	Lokomotiv Oslo	24	9	2	13	46	68	29
10	KFUM 2	24	7	4	13	49	66	25
11	Grei	24	8	1	15	44	73	25
12	Ullern	24	7	2	15	43	62	23
13	Nordstrand	24	6	2	16	36	54	20
14	Konnerud	24	5	2	17	38	65	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Asker	FK Union Carl Berner
Konnerud	3-2 W	1-2 L
Frigg	3-2 W	6-2 W
Baerum	4-2 W	2-1 W
Grei	3-4 L	1-0 W
Nordstrand	1-0 W	1-1 D
KFUM 2	7-2 W	1-1 D
Ullern	6-2 W	1-4 L
Valerenga 2	5-4 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Asker (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Asker

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-0	3-2	7	5	W
14/10	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
10/10	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-1	4-2	11	4	W
03/10	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	3-4	5	2	L
26/09	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
20/09	Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
14/09	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	4-0	7-2	9	0	W
05/09	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-1	6-2	6	1	W
15/08	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	5-2	–	–	W
08/08	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	5-4	5	3	W

FK Union Carl Berner

LLWDWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-0	4-0	8	5	W
10/10	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-1	0-4	5	3	L
03/10	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-1	4-1	5	4	W
29/09	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
26/09	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	5-1	6-2	5	2	W
19/09	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
12/09	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
05/09	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
15/08	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	1-4	7	1	L
07/08	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	1-2	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Asker vs FK Union Carl Berner?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Asker win (57%). Probabilities: Asker 57%, draw 19%, FK Union Carl Berner 24%.

How many goals are expected in Asker vs FK Union Carl Berner?

The model expects 4.45 goals (Asker 2.68 · FK Union Carl Berner 1.77), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Asker vs FK Union Carl Berner?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.