Football · Greece Super League 1 · 05/09, 20:00
Prediction: AEK Athens vs Aris Salonika
Team pages: AEK Athens · Aris Salonika
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
AEK Athens1.65
Aris Salonika1.01
1X2
AEK Athens
Draw
Aris Salonika
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
AEK Athens
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Aris Salonika
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AEK Athens
3–3–0
Aris Salonika
(6 last)
- Aris Salonika1-1AEK Athens
- AEK Athens1-0Aris Salonika
- Aris Salonika0-0AEK Athens
- Aris Salonika1-1AEK Athens
- AEK Athens4-0Aris Salonika
- AEK Athens1-0Aris Salonika
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AEK Athens (rating 1617 vs 1576).
- H2H favours AEK Athens: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AEK Athens | Aris Salonika | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.5 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.4 | 2.6 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AEK Athens 3–3–0 Aris Salonika
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/26 Greece Super League 1 | Aris Salonika | 1-1 HT 1-1 | AEK Athens |
| 23/11/25 Greece Super League 1 | AEK Athens | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Aris Salonika |
| 09/03/25 Greece Super League 1 | Aris Salonika | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AEK Athens |
| 03/12/24 Greece Cup | Aris Salonika | 1-1 HT 1-0 | AEK Athens |
| 30/11/24 Greece Super League 1 | AEK Athens | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Aris Salonika |
| 30/10/24 Greece Cup | AEK Athens | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aris Salonika |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PAOK Salonika | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Panetolikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Aris Salonika | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | AEK Athens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | OFI Crete | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Olympiacos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Volos NFC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 9 | Kifisias FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Panathinaikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Atromitos Athinon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AEK Athens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 07/03 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Aris Salonika
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Kalamata Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 8 | W |
| 13/05 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 05/04 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 14/03 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 07/03 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AEK Athens vs Aris Salonika?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AEK Athens win (51%). Probabilities: AEK Athens 51%, draw 27%, Aris Salonika 22%.
How many goals are expected in AEK Athens vs Aris Salonika?
The model expects 2.67 goals (AEK Athens 1.65 · Aris Salonika 1.01), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AEK Athens vs Aris Salonika?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.