Football · South Korea K4 League · 29/08, 12:00

Prediction: Pyeongtaek Citizen FC vs Gijang United

Team pages: Pyeongtaek Citizen FC · Gijang United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC1.27

Gijang United1.5

1X2

32% 26% 42%

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC Draw Gijang United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLLWLDLL

Gijang United 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLDLWL

Head-to-head

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1–3 Gijang United (4 last)

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC0-2Gijang United
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC1-2Gijang United
Gijang United6-3Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC2-1Gijang United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1367 · Gijang United 1470

	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC	Draw	Gijang United
Our model	31%	28%	41%
Market	33%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gijang United (rating 1367 vs 1470).
H2H favours Gijang United: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC	Gijang United
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.9	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.6	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:51 +9’	2.75	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1–0–3 Gijang United

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 South Korea K4 League	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Gijang United
14/09/25 South Korea K4 League	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC	1-2 HT 1-0	Gijang United
08/06/25 South Korea K4 League	Gijang United	6-3 HT 1-1	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
15/03/25 South Korea K4 League	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC	2-1 HT 2-0	Gijang United

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC	Gijang United
Jinju Citizen FC	0-2 L	1-4 L
Seosan Pioneer	0-5 L	2-0 W
Seoul Jungnang FC	1-1 D	0-3 L
Jincheon HR	1-0 W	0-2 L
Pyeongchang United	0-1 L	2-4 L
Geoje Citizen FC	2-3 L	2-4 L
Sejong SA	2-2 D	1-0 W
Namyangju FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Jecheon Citizen	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 6 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Pyeongtaek Citizen FC (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

LLDLLWLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	0-2	0-2	3	6	L
12/07	Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League	0-3	0-5	5	2	L
27/06	Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
06/06	Haman South Korea K4 League	0-0	0-2	7	7	L
30/05	Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
24/05	Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
17/05	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	1-0	2-3	3	4	L
10/05	Sejong SA South Korea K4 League	0-2	2-2	2	8	D
03/05	Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
26/04	Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L

Gijang United

DWWLLLDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	1-1	1-4	5	3	L
25/07	Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League	0-0	2-0	11	5	W
11/07	Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League	0-1	0-3	8	3	L
28/06	Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League	0-1	1-1	1	2	D
07/06	Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
30/05	Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League	0-3	2-4	2	1	L
24/05	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	1-2	2-4	2	2	L
17/05	Sejong SA South Korea K4 League	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
09/05	Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
02/05	Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League	0-0	0-0	2	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pyeongtaek Citizen FC vs Gijang United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gijang United win (42%). Probabilities: Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 32%, draw 26%, Gijang United 42%.

How many goals are expected in Pyeongtaek Citizen FC vs Gijang United?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1.27 · Gijang United 1.5), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Pyeongtaek Citizen FC vs Gijang United?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.