Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 27/08, 17:00

Prediction: Betlemi vs Guria Lanchkhuti

Team pages: Betlemi · Guria Lanchkhuti

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.94Total
Betlemi0.97
Guria Lanchkhuti2.97
1X2
8% 13% 78%
Betlemi Draw Guria Lanchkhuti
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
0-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Betlemi 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLWLLDLL
Guria Lanchkhuti 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
DWLWWWWLWW
Head-to-head
Betlemi 0–1 Guria Lanchkhuti (1 last)
  • Betlemi1-2Guria Lanchkhuti
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Betlemi 1445 · Guria Lanchkhuti 1578
BetlemiDrawGuria Lanchkhuti
Our model9%14%77%
Market8%12%80%
Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guria Lanchkhuti (rating 1445 vs 1578).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BetlemiGuria Lanchkhuti
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 2.82.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 1.51.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.42.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.33.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Betlemi 001 Guria Lanchkhuti

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/04/19
Georgia Cup
Betlemi1-2Guria Lanchkhuti

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBetlemiGuria Lanchkhuti
FC Didube 2014 0-5 L 2-1 W
FC Tbilisi 2025 1-7 L 1-1 D
Kolkheti 2-2 D 5-0 W
Lokomotiv Tbilisi 0-1 L 0-1 L
FC Iberia 2010 3-0 W 6-0 W
FC Merani Tbilisi 0-5 L 5-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Guria Lanchkhuti (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Betlemi

LLWLWLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/08 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
0-4 0-5 L
15/06 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 1-7 02 L
02/06 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 2-2 121 D
21/05 FC Gonio
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-3 25 L
07/05 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-1 57 L
29/04 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 3-0 22 W
16/04 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
0-3 1-3 34 L
09/04 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 61 W
25/03 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-3 0-5 55 L
12/03 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-2 L

Guria Lanchkhuti

DWLWWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 2-0 56 W
13/08 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
3-0 5-0 34 W
06/08 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-1 50 L
21/06 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 2-1 68 W
15/06 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 5-2 73 W
28/05 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-1 W
20/05 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
4-0 6-0 62 W
15/05 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-1 34 L
07/05 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 5-0 22 W
03/05 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 1-1 96 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Betlemi vs Guria Lanchkhuti?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guria Lanchkhuti win (78%). Probabilities: Betlemi 8%, draw 13%, Guria Lanchkhuti 78%.

How many goals are expected in Betlemi vs Guria Lanchkhuti?

The model expects 3.94 goals (Betlemi 0.97 · Guria Lanchkhuti 2.97), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Betlemi vs Guria Lanchkhuti?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.