Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 28/08, 17:00

Prediction: FC Gonio vs FC Iberia 1999 II

Team pages: FC Gonio · FC Iberia 1999 II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

FC Gonio1.15

FC Iberia 1999 II1.18

1X2

35% 29% 36%

FC Gonio Draw FC Iberia 1999 II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Gonio 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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FC Iberia 1999 II 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Gonio 3–2–1 FC Iberia 1999 II (6 last)

FC Iberia 1999 II0-0FC Gonio
FC Gonio2-0FC Iberia 1999 II
FC Iberia 1999 II1-1FC Gonio
FC Gonio0-4FC Iberia 1999 II
FC Iberia 1999 II0-1FC Gonio
FC Gonio2-1FC Iberia 1999 II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gonio 1530 · FC Iberia 1999 II 1524

	FC Gonio	Draw	FC Iberia 1999 II
Our model	34%	31%	35%
Market	36%	27%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Gonio: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Gonio	FC Iberia 1999 II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.3	1.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5	1.9 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.30

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
04:08 +2’	2.50	3.30	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gonio 3–2–1 FC Iberia 1999 II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Georgia Liga 3	FC Iberia 1999 II	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Gonio
01/11/25 Georgia First League	FC Gonio	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Iberia 1999 II
11/09/25 Georgia First League	FC Iberia 1999 II	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Gonio
20/05/25 Georgia First League	FC Gonio	0-4 HT 0-1	FC Iberia 1999 II
02/04/25 Georgia First League	FC Iberia 1999 II	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Gonio
12/09/24 Georgia Liga 3	FC Gonio	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Iberia 1999 II

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Gonio	FC Iberia 1999 II
Lokomotiv Tbilisi	0-4 L	1-1 D
Iveria Khashuri	1-1 D	1-0 W
FC Iberia 2010	2-0 W	2-0 W
FC Margveti 2006	4-0 W	0-2 L
Gardabani	6-0 W	6-0 W
FC Merani Tbilisi	1-1 D	1-0 W
FC Orbi	0-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Iberia 1999 II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gonio

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/08	Lokomotiv Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	0-2	0-4	6	0	L
13/08	Iveria Khashuri Georgia Liga 3	0-1	1-1	13	6	D
06/08	FC Iberia 2010 Georgia Liga 3	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
15/06	FC Margveti 2006 Georgia Liga 3	2-0	4-0	2	2	W
28/05	Gardabani Georgia Liga 3	1-0	6-0	–	–	W
21/05	Betlemi Georgia Liga 3	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
14/05	FC Merani Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
07/05	FC Didube 2014 Georgia Liga 3	1-0	1-2	9	3	L
03/05	FC Orbi Georgia Liga 3	0-2	0-4	4	4	L
24/04	FC Tbilisi 2025 Georgia Liga 3	0-1	1-1	3	9	D

FC Iberia 1999 II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Guria Lanchkhuti Georgia Liga 3	0-2	0-2	6	6	L
13/08	Lokomotiv Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
06/08	Iveria Khashuri Georgia Liga 3	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
21/06	FC Iberia 2010 Georgia Liga 3	2-0	2-0	3	1	W
15/06	Kolkheti Georgia Liga 3	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
28/05	FC Margveti 2006 Georgia Liga 3	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
21/05	Gardabani Georgia Liga 3	2-0	6-0	9	0	W
07/05	FC Merani Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
29/04	FC Orbi Georgia Liga 3	2-1	2-1	1	7	W
24/04	Wit Georgia Georgia Liga 3	0-2	1-2	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gonio vs FC Iberia 1999 II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Iberia 1999 II win (36%). Probabilities: FC Gonio 35%, draw 29%, FC Iberia 1999 II 36%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gonio vs FC Iberia 1999 II?

The model expects 2.34 goals (FC Gonio 1.15 · FC Iberia 1999 II 1.18), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gonio vs FC Iberia 1999 II?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.