Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 03/09, 16:00

Prediction: Lokomotiv Tbilisi vs FC Tbilisi 2025

Team pages: Lokomotiv Tbilisi · FC Tbilisi 2025

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Lokomotiv Tbilisi0.72
FC Tbilisi 20251.46
1X2
19% 25% 55%
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Draw FC Tbilisi 2025
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Lokomotiv Tbilisi 6-4-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWDWDWD
FC Tbilisi 2025 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWDWDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lokomotiv Tbilisi 1549 · FC Tbilisi 2025 1595
Lokomotiv TbilisiDrawFC Tbilisi 2025
Our model17%29%54%
Market21%22%57%
Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tbilisi 2025 (rating 1549 vs 1595).
  • High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lokomotiv TbilisiFC Tbilisi 2025
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.32.9 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.20.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.13.1 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.23.4 / 0.1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLokomotiv TbilisiFC Tbilisi 2025
Iveria Khashuri 0-0 D 5-0 W
FC Iberia 2010 1-0 W 0-0 D
Kolkheti 2-0 W 4-0 W
FC Margveti 2006 1-0 W 1-1 D
Gardabani 1-1 D 3-1 W
Betlemi 1-0 W 7-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 0 L 4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Tbilisi 2025 (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lokomotiv Tbilisi

WDWWWDWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/08 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-1 78 D
20/08 FC Gonio
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 4-0 100 W
13/08 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-1 25 D
06/08 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 00 W
21/06 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-0 113 D
15/06 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-0 41 W
28/05 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 W
21/05 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 53 W
14/05 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 1-1 91 D
07/05 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 77 W

FC Tbilisi 2025

WWWWWWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/08 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 5-0 73 W
20/08 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-0 103 D
13/08 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 4-0 51 W
06/08 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-1 37 D
21/06 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
2-1 3-1 60 W
15/06 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 7-1 72 W
28/05 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 W
21/05 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 5-0 510 W
14/05 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 41 W
07/05 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 75 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Tbilisi vs FC Tbilisi 2025?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Tbilisi 2025 win (55%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Tbilisi 19%, draw 25%, FC Tbilisi 2025 55%.

How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Tbilisi vs FC Tbilisi 2025?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Lokomotiv Tbilisi 0.72 · FC Tbilisi 2025 1.46), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Tbilisi vs FC Tbilisi 2025?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.