Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 03/09, 14:30

Prediction: FC Iberia 1999 II vs Dinamo Tbilisi II

Team pages: FC Iberia 1999 II · Dinamo Tbilisi II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

FC Iberia 1999 II1.8

Dinamo Tbilisi II1.26

1X2

50% 24% 26%

FC Iberia 1999 II Draw Dinamo Tbilisi II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Iberia 1999 II 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWDLD

Dinamo Tbilisi II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLWLWWWD

Head-to-head

FC Iberia 1999 II 4–2 Dinamo Tbilisi II (6 last)

Dinamo Tbilisi II0-1FC Iberia 1999 II
Dinamo Tbilisi II2-0FC Iberia 1999 II
FC Iberia 1999 II4-0Dinamo Tbilisi II
Dinamo Tbilisi II1-2FC Iberia 1999 II
FC Iberia 1999 II3-1Dinamo Tbilisi II
FC Iberia 1999 II0-2Dinamo Tbilisi II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Iberia 1999 II 1545 · Dinamo Tbilisi II 1523

	FC Iberia 1999 II	Draw	Dinamo Tbilisi II
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Iberia 1999 II: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Iberia 1999 II	Dinamo Tbilisi II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.8	2.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	2.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.80

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:14 +4’	1.80	3.80	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Iberia 1999 II 4–0–2 Dinamo Tbilisi II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/04/26 Georgia Liga 3	Dinamo Tbilisi II	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Iberia 1999 II
21/10/25 Georgia First League	Dinamo Tbilisi II	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Iberia 1999 II
25/08/25 Georgia First League	FC Iberia 1999 II	4-0 HT 3-0	Dinamo Tbilisi II
09/05/25 Georgia First League	Dinamo Tbilisi II	1-2 HT 0-2	FC Iberia 1999 II
14/03/25 Georgia First League	FC Iberia 1999 II	3-1 HT 1-0	Dinamo Tbilisi II
08/09/22 Georgia Liga 3	FC Iberia 1999 II	0-2 HT 0-0	Dinamo Tbilisi II

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Iberia 1999 II	Dinamo Tbilisi II
Lokomotiv Tbilisi	1-1 D	1-1 D
Iveria Khashuri	1-0 W	5-2 W
FC Iberia 2010	2-0 W	4-3 W
Kolkheti	3-0 W	3-2 W
FC Margveti 2006	0-2 L	0-2 L
Gardabani	6-0 W	4-1 W
FC Merani Tbilisi	1-0 W	0-1 L
FC Orbi	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Iberia 1999 II (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Iberia 1999 II

WWWLWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	FC Gonio Georgia Liga 3	0-0	2-2	6	5	D
21/08	Guria Lanchkhuti Georgia Liga 3	0-2	0-2	6	6	L
13/08	Lokomotiv Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
06/08	Iveria Khashuri Georgia Liga 3	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
21/06	FC Iberia 2010 Georgia Liga 3	2-0	2-0	3	1	W
15/06	Kolkheti Georgia Liga 3	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
28/05	FC Margveti 2006 Georgia Liga 3	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
21/05	Gardabani Georgia Liga 3	2-0	6-0	9	0	W
07/05	FC Merani Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
29/04	FC Orbi Georgia Liga 3	2-1	2-1	1	7	W

Dinamo Tbilisi II

LDWLWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Lokomotiv Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
20/08	Iveria Khashuri Georgia Liga 3	2-0	5-2	5	4	W
13/08	FC Iberia 2010 Georgia Liga 3	3-1	4-3	1	8	W
06/08	Kolkheti Georgia Liga 3	1-1	3-2	11	3	W
21/06	FC Margveti 2006 Georgia Liga 3	0-2	0-2	9	5	L
15/06	Gardabani Georgia Liga 3	2-0	4-1	4	3	W
21/05	FC Merani Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
14/05	FC Didube 2014 Georgia Liga 3	1-0	2-1	4	8	W
08/05	FC Orbi Georgia Liga 3	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
03/05	Wit Georgia Georgia Liga 3	1-0	2-3	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Iberia 1999 II vs Dinamo Tbilisi II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Iberia 1999 II win (50%). Probabilities: FC Iberia 1999 II 50%, draw 24%, Dinamo Tbilisi II 26%.

How many goals are expected in FC Iberia 1999 II vs Dinamo Tbilisi II?

The model expects 3.06 goals (FC Iberia 1999 II 1.8 · Dinamo Tbilisi II 1.26), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Iberia 1999 II vs Dinamo Tbilisi II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.