Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 29/08, 20:00

Prediction: Leones de Rosario vs CA Atlas

Team pages: Leones de Rosario · CA Atlas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.97Total

Leones de Rosario1.18

CA Atlas0.79

1X2

44% 32% 24%

Leones de Rosario Draw CA Atlas

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Leones de Rosario 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDLDDWLW

CA Atlas 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDLWWW

Head-to-head

Leones de Rosario 0–1 CA Atlas (1 last)

CA Atlas3-2Leones de Rosario

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leones de Rosario 1487 · CA Atlas 1564

	Leones de Rosario	Draw	CA Atlas
Our model	44%	33%	23%
Market	45%	31%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Atlas (rating 1487 vs 1564).
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leones de Rosario	CA Atlas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.4	1.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	5.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X2.88

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.75

2 (+0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 21.93

Under 21.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 1.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
04:59 +9’	2.00	2.88	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Leones de Rosario 0–0–1 CA Atlas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	CA Atlas	3-2 HT 2-1	Leones de Rosario

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	25	13	7	5	33	19	46
2	Canuelas FC	25	11	9	5	27	18	42
3	Leones de Rosario	25	9	10	6	24	22	37
4	General Lamadrid	25	9	9	7	22	23	36
5	Sportivo Barracas	25	10	5	10	29	25	35
6	Deportivo Espanol	25	7	14	4	18	14	35
7	CA Atlas	25	9	8	8	22	21	35
8	Yupanqui	25	8	9	8	31	28	33
9	Central Cordoba de Rosario	25	8	9	8	23	21	33
10	El Porvenir	25	5	15	5	18	21	30
11	Central Ballester	25	7	7	11	23	27	28
12	Fenix	25	6	9	10	19	25	27
13	CA Claypole	25	6	8	11	17	30	26
14	Deportivo Muniz	25	4	10	11	17	26	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leones de Rosario	CA Atlas
Deportivo Muniz	2-1 W	1-1 D
Canuelas FC	0-1 L	2-0 W
Deportivo Espanol	0-0 D	0-1 L
Central Cordoba de Rosario	0-2 L	1-0 W
CA Claypole	1-1 D	2-1 W
Central Ballester	0-1 L	2-0 W
El Porvenir	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CA Atlas (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leones de Rosario

WDLDLDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
22/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
17/08	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	3	8	W
04/08	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
31/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
25/07	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	1	5	L
13/07	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
04/07	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
27/06	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
15/06	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	4	W

CA Atlas

WWWWLDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	4	9	W
16/08	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
09/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	1	6	W
04/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	8	9	L
30/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
25/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
11/07	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
05/07	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	2	6	W
30/06	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
13/06	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leones de Rosario vs CA Atlas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leones de Rosario win (44%). Probabilities: Leones de Rosario 44%, draw 32%, CA Atlas 24%.

How many goals are expected in Leones de Rosario vs CA Atlas?

The model expects 1.97 goals (Leones de Rosario 1.18 · CA Atlas 0.79), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Leones de Rosario vs CA Atlas?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.