Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 07/09, 20:00

Prediction: Deportivo Muniz vs Sportivo Barracas

Team pages: Deportivo Muniz · Sportivo Barracas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.96Total

Deportivo Muniz0.9

Sportivo Barracas1.06

1X2

29% 33% 38%

Deportivo Muniz Draw Sportivo Barracas

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Muniz 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDWLWDLLLL

Sportivo Barracas 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWLDL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Muniz 4–1–1 Sportivo Barracas (6 last)

Sportivo Barracas0-0Deportivo Muniz
Sportivo Barracas0-1Deportivo Muniz
Deportivo Muniz2-1Sportivo Barracas
Deportivo Muniz2-0Sportivo Barracas
Sportivo Barracas1-0Deportivo Muniz
Deportivo Muniz1-0Sportivo Barracas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Muniz 1460 · Sportivo Barracas 1487

	Deportivo Muniz	Draw	Sportivo Barracas
Our model	29%	34%	37%
Market	30%	32%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 1.96 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Muniz: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Muniz	Sportivo Barracas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.4	1.3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X2.75

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.36 ★
X	2.80 → 2.75▼	Bet365 2.75
2	2.15 → 2.35▲	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:04 +4’	3.40	2.80	2.15
19:58 +12’	3.00▼	2.75▼	2.35▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:25 +41’	2.91	2.78	2.38
16:04 +3’	2.98▲	2.78	2.33▼
18:01 +28’	3.02▲	2.81▲	2.35▲
20:10	3.36▲	2.69▼	2.26▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Muniz 4–1–1 Sportivo Barracas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Muniz
26/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Muniz
28/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Muniz	2-1 HT 1-0	Sportivo Barracas
06/11/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Deportivo Muniz	2-0 HT 1-0	Sportivo Barracas
25/07/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Muniz
09/05/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Deportivo Muniz	1-0 HT 0-0	Sportivo Barracas

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	27	14	7	6	39	22	49
2	Canuelas FC	27	13	9	5	32	20	48
3	Leones de Rosario	27	11	10	6	26	22	43
4	Deportivo Espanol	27	9	14	4	20	14	41
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	27	10	9	8	26	21	39
6	General Lamadrid	27	9	10	8	22	25	37
7	CA Atlas	27	9	9	9	22	22	36
8	Sportivo Barracas	26	10	5	11	29	26	35
9	Yupanqui	27	8	9	10	31	31	33
10	El Porvenir	27	6	15	6	22	25	33
11	Central Ballester	26	8	7	11	25	27	31
12	Fenix	27	6	9	12	19	27	27
13	CA Claypole	26	6	8	12	19	34	26
14	Deportivo Muniz	26	4	10	12	17	30	22

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Muniz	Sportivo Barracas
Lujan	0-4 L	2-0 W
Yupanqui	1-0 W	2-3 L
Deportivo Espanol	1-1 D	0-1 L
Central Cordoba de Rosario	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Muniz (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Muniz

DDWLWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-4	3	2	L
25/08	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
21/08	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
18/08	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
30/07	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
25/07	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	0	1	W
18/07	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
11/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
06/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
27/06	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	4	D

Sportivo Barracas

WLLLWWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
26/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
23/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
16/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	10	6	W
10/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	1	10	W
28/07	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
17/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-2	2-3	4	8	L
13/07	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
06/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-3	–	–	L
29/06	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Muniz vs Sportivo Barracas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportivo Barracas win (38%). Probabilities: Deportivo Muniz 29%, draw 33%, Sportivo Barracas 38%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Muniz vs Sportivo Barracas?

The model expects 1.96 goals (Deportivo Muniz 0.9 · Sportivo Barracas 1.06), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Muniz vs Sportivo Barracas?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.