Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 06/09, 20:00

Prediction: Deportivo Paraguayo vs Club Leandro N. Alem

Team pages: Deportivo Paraguayo · Club Leandro N. Alem

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.02Total

Deportivo Paraguayo1.01

Club Leandro N. Alem1.01

1X2

34% 33% 34%

Deportivo Paraguayo Draw Club Leandro N. Alem

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Paraguayo 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Club Leandro N. Alem 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLWLDLLLLL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Paraguayo 0–2–3 Club Leandro N. Alem (5 last)

Club Leandro N. Alem4-2Deportivo Paraguayo
Deportivo Paraguayo2-2Club Leandro N. Alem
Club Leandro N. Alem1-1Deportivo Paraguayo
Club Leandro N. Alem3-0Deportivo Paraguayo
Deportivo Paraguayo1-2Club Leandro N. Alem

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Paraguayo 1454 · Club Leandro N. Alem 1426

	Deportivo Paraguayo	Draw	Club Leandro N. Alem
Our model	33%	33%	33%
Market	34%	32%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Club Leandro N. Alem: 3-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Paraguayo	Club Leandro N. Alem
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.63

X2.80

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.88

Under 1.751.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:39 +2’	2.63	2.80	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Paraguayo 0–2–3 Club Leandro N. Alem

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	4-2 HT 1-2	Deportivo Paraguayo
16/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Paraguayo	2-2 HT 1-2	Club Leandro N. Alem
14/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	1-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Paraguayo
04/04/17 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	3-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Paraguayo
26/09/16 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Deportivo Paraguayo	1-2 HT 0-1	Club Leandro N. Alem

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	26	13	6	7	31	19	45
2	CA Lugano	26	10	10	6	30	23	40
3	Centro Espanol	26	10	9	7	33	23	39
4	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	26	10	9	7	27	24	39
5	Juventud Unida San Miguel	26	10	8	8	32	25	38
6	Berazategui	26	9	11	6	27	20	38
7	Puerto Nuevo	26	9	11	6	25	24	38
8	Victoriano Arenas	26	8	12	6	20	15	36
9	Club Mercedes	27	9	9	9	26	22	36
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	27	8	8	11	24	28	32
11	Club Leandro N. Alem	26	7	6	13	26	45	27
12	JJ Urquiza	26	4	12	10	12	23	24
13	Deportivo Paraguayo	26	5	9	12	14	31	24
14	Argentino de Rosario	26	3	13	10	24	32	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Paraguayo	Club Leandro N. Alem
Defensores de Cambaceres	0-0 D	0-2 L
Juventud Unida San Miguel	2-1 W	1-2 L
Sacachispas	0-2 L	1-1 D
Central Ballester	0-0 D	0-3 L
Argentino de Rosario	2-1 W	2-0 W
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	0-1 L	0-3 L
Berazategui	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Paraguayo (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Paraguayo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
22/08	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	2-1	7	3	W
16/08	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
10/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
04/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	9	D
31/07	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
25/07	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
11/07	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
05/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
27/06	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	1	5	L

Club Leandro N. Alem

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-3	5	4	L
25/08	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	5	0	L
22/08	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
15/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	4	8	L
08/08	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
27/07	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	6	8	D
18/07	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
12/07	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	2	7	W
04/07	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	1	4	L
28/06	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Paraguayo vs Club Leandro N. Alem?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Paraguayo win (34%). Probabilities: Deportivo Paraguayo 34%, draw 33%, Club Leandro N. Alem 34%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Paraguayo vs Club Leandro N. Alem?

The model expects 2.02 goals (Deportivo Paraguayo 1.01 · Club Leandro N. Alem 1.01), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Paraguayo vs Club Leandro N. Alem?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.