Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 06/09, 20:00

Prediction: JJ Urquiza vs Juventud Unida San Miguel

Team pages: JJ Urquiza · Juventud Unida San Miguel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.87Total

JJ Urquiza0.88

Juventud Unida San Miguel0.99

1X2

30% 33% 36%

JJ Urquiza Draw Juventud Unida San Miguel

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

JJ Urquiza 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWDDLLWL

Juventud Unida San Miguel 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDWLWW

Head-to-head

JJ Urquiza 3–0 Juventud Unida San Miguel (3 last)

Juventud Unida San Miguel0-1JJ Urquiza
JJ Urquiza2-0Juventud Unida San Miguel
Juventud Unida San Miguel1-2JJ Urquiza

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JJ Urquiza 1484 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1550

	JJ Urquiza	Draw	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Our model	29%	35%	36%
Market	31%	32%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 1.87 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventud Unida San Miguel (rating 1484 vs 1550).
H2H favours JJ Urquiza: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JJ Urquiza	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1	1.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 2.8	1.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.90

X2.75

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.08

2 (0)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.85

Under 1.751.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:40 +2’	2.90	2.75	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JJ Urquiza 3–0–0 Juventud Unida San Miguel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	0-1 HT 0-0	JJ Urquiza
08/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	JJ Urquiza	2-0 HT 0-0	Juventud Unida San Miguel
06/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	1-2 HT 1-1	JJ Urquiza

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	26	13	6	7	31	19	45
2	CA Lugano	26	10	10	6	30	23	40
3	Centro Espanol	26	10	9	7	33	23	39
4	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	26	10	9	7	27	24	39
5	Juventud Unida San Miguel	26	10	8	8	32	25	38
6	Berazategui	26	9	11	6	27	20	38
7	Puerto Nuevo	26	9	11	6	25	24	38
8	Victoriano Arenas	26	8	12	6	20	15	36
9	Club Mercedes	27	9	9	9	26	22	36
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	27	8	8	11	24	28	32
11	Club Leandro N. Alem	26	7	6	13	26	45	27
12	JJ Urquiza	26	4	12	10	12	23	24
13	Deportivo Paraguayo	26	5	9	12	14	31	24
14	Argentino de Rosario	26	3	13	10	24	32	22

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JJ Urquiza	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Sacachispas	1-2 L	0-1 L
Argentino de Rosario	2-1 W	3-0 W
Deportivo Muniz	3-0 W	1-0 W
CA Lugano	0-0 D	0-0 D
Club Mercedes	0-5 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Juventud Unida San Miguel (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JJ Urquiza

LDDWDDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	2	8	L
22/08	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	6	1	W
16/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
08/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
31/07	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
25/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
18/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	1	4	W
12/07	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
04/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
27/06	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-4	0-5	3	6	L

Juventud Unida San Miguel

WLDWWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	4-1	4	5	W
25/08	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	3	0	W
22/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	7	3	L
18/08	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
09/08	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
04/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	10	W
26/07	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	3-1	2	5	W
12/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
05/07	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
27/06	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JJ Urquiza vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Juventud Unida San Miguel win (36%). Probabilities: JJ Urquiza 30%, draw 33%, Juventud Unida San Miguel 36%.

How many goals are expected in JJ Urquiza vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

The model expects 1.87 goals (JJ Urquiza 0.88 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 0.99), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in JJ Urquiza vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.