Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 19/09, 22:00

Prediction: Yaracuyanos vs CD Lara

Team pages: Yaracuyanos · CD Lara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Yaracuyanos1.06

CD Lara1.32

1X2

29% 29% 42%

Yaracuyanos Draw CD Lara

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Yaracuyanos 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWDWDWLL

CD Lara 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Yaracuyanos 1–3–2 CD Lara (6 last)

CD Lara2-2Yaracuyanos
Yaracuyanos1-2CD Lara
CD Lara1-1Yaracuyanos
Yaracuyanos1-3CD Lara
CD Lara1-1Yaracuyanos
Yaracuyanos1-0CD Lara

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yaracuyanos 1470 · CD Lara 1593

	Yaracuyanos	Draw	CD Lara
Our model	29%	30%	41%
Market	30%	28%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Lara (rating 1470 vs 1593).
H2H favours CD Lara: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yaracuyanos	CD Lara
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	2.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.5	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.6	6.1 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.25

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:04 +7’	3.00	3.25	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Yaracuyanos 1–3–2 CD Lara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	CD Lara	2-2 HT 0-0	Yaracuyanos
02/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Yaracuyanos	1-2 HT 1-1	CD Lara
07/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	CD Lara	1-1 HT 0-0	Yaracuyanos
13/09/21 Venezuela Primera Division	Yaracuyanos	1-3 HT 1-1	CD Lara
26/07/21 Venezuela Primera Division	CD Lara	1-1 HT 0-0	Yaracuyanos
07/06/21 Venezuela Primera Division	Yaracuyanos	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Lara

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Lara	27	18	6	3	46	20	60
2	Barquisimeto	26	13	8	5	45	27	47
3	Urena SC	26	12	9	5	41	28	45
4	Yaracuyanos	26	10	7	9	31	27	37
5	Zamora II	25	9	7	9	37	35	34
6	Academia Puerto Cabello II	26	8	6	12	33	36	30
7	Atletico El Vigia	26	8	6	12	28	43	30
8	Atletico Barinas	26	8	4	14	45	55	28
9	Real Frontera	26	3	3	20	21	56	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yaracuyanos	CD Lara
Atletico El Vigia	0-1 L	3-0 W
Atletico Barinas	0-1 L	1-0 W
Urena SC	4-3 W	1-0 W
Barquisimeto	0-0 D	2-1 W
Zamora II	2-1 W	2-0 W
Academia Puerto Cabello II	0-0 D	3-0 W
Real Frontera	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	7 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CD Lara (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yaracuyanos

LDDWDWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
06/09	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
02/09	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	2-2	4-3	5	6	W
30/08	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
22/08	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
14/08	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
08/08	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
02/08	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-2	4	10	D
25/07	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
06/06	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	1-2	13	3	L

CD Lara

WLDWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/09	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
06/09	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-0	5	11	W
03/09	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
29/08	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
22/08	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-0	5	7	W
15/08	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	2-0	5	7	W
02/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-2	7	10	D
29/07	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	0	4	L
25/07	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	4-1	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yaracuyanos vs CD Lara?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Lara win (42%). Probabilities: Yaracuyanos 29%, draw 29%, CD Lara 42%.

How many goals are expected in Yaracuyanos vs CD Lara?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Yaracuyanos 1.06 · CD Lara 1.32), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Yaracuyanos vs CD Lara?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.