Football · Romania Liga III · 04/09, 16:00
Prediction: ACS Sepsi II vs Tricolorul Breaza
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
ACS Sepsi II2.69
Tricolorul Breaza0.77
1X2
ACS Sepsi II
Draw
Tricolorul Breaza
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
ACS Sepsi II
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Tricolorul Breaza
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ACS Sepsi II 1466 · Tricolorul Breaza 1452
| ACS Sepsi II | Draw | Tricolorul Breaza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| Market | 80% | 11% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ACS Sepsi II | Tricolorul Breaza | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2 | 1.2 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 33/67/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4 | 0 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 1.3 / 0 |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACS Sepsi II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | FC Inter Sibiu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | ACS Medias 2022 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | CSM Sacele | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Corona Brasov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | CSO Baicoi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | ACS Kids Tampa Brasov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | ACS Olimpic Zarnesti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 | CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | CS Carpati Covasna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 | Tricolorul Breaza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ACS Sepsi II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | CS Carpati Covasna Romania Liga III |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Cetate Suceava Romania Liga III |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Soimii Gura Humorului Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | AS Stiinta Miroslava Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Viitorul Onesti Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Cetate Suceava Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Soimii Gura Humorului Romania Liga III |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/04 | AS Stiinta Miroslava Romania Liga III |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | Viitorul Onesti Romania Liga III |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/03 | CSM Ramnicu Sarat Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Tricolorul Breaza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | FC Inter Sibiu Romania Liga III |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 10/04 | FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 04/04 | Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | CSM Flacara Moreni Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ACS Sepsi II vs Tricolorul Breaza?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ACS Sepsi II win (78%). Probabilities: ACS Sepsi II 78%, draw 13%, Tricolorul Breaza 9%.
How many goals are expected in ACS Sepsi II vs Tricolorul Breaza?
The model expects 3.46 goals (ACS Sepsi II 2.69 · Tricolorul Breaza 0.77), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in ACS Sepsi II vs Tricolorul Breaza?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.