Football · Romania Liga III · 04/09, 19:00

Prediction: CSM Targu Jiu vs ACSO Filiasi

Team pages: CSM Targu Jiu · ACSO Filiasi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
CSM Targu Jiu2.06
ACSO Filiasi1.14
1X2
58% 23% 20%
CSM Targu Jiu Draw ACSO Filiasi
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
CSM Targu Jiu 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
DWWWWWDWLW
ACSO Filiasi 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLDWLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSM Targu Jiu 1590 · ACSO Filiasi 1481
CSM Targu JiuDrawACSO Filiasi
Our model57%23%20%
Market58%22%20%
Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSM Targu Jiu (rating 1590 vs 1481).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CSM Targu JiuACSO Filiasi
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 11 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.80.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/17/33%25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 6.73 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.35.1 / 0.1

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 6

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Drobeta Turnu Severin 1100 203
2 CSM Targu Jiu 1100 323
3 ACSO Filiasi 1100 213
4 Minerul Lupeni 1100 103
5 AS FC Pausesti-Otasau 1010 111
5 Unirea Bascov 1010 111
7 CS U Craiova II 1010 001
7 CS Vulturii Farcasesti 1010 001
9 Oltul Curtisoara 1001 230
10 Jiul Petrosani 1001 120
11 ACS Academica Bals 1001 010
12 ACS Petrolul Hartiesti 1001 020

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSM Targu Jiu

DWWWWWDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Oltul Curtisoara
Romania Liga III
1-1 3-2 910 W
15/05 FC Inter Sibiu
Romania Liga III
0-2 2-4 85 L
09/05 AS FC Pausesti-Otasau
Romania Liga III
2-0 W
01/05 ACS Medias 2022
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-1 73 D
25/04 CS Viitorul Daesti
Romania Liga III
2-1 W
17/04 Unirea Bascov
Romania Liga III
2-1 3-1 54 W
10/04 CS Gilortul Targu Carbunesti
Romania Liga III
2-1 W
04/04 ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel
Romania Liga III
1-0 1-0 55 W
28/03 CS Gilortul Targu Carbunesti
Romania Liga III
1-0 2-0 63 W
21/03 Minerul Lupeni
Romania Liga III
0-0 D

ACSO Filiasi

LLDWLLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Jiul Petrosani
Romania Liga III
2-1 W
15/05 Oltul Curtisoara
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-4 32 L
08/05 CSM Alexandria
Romania Liga III
0-2 L
01/05 CSL Nanov
Romania Liga III
2-0 3-1 37 W
17/04 Acs Axi Arena
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-3 44 L
10/04 Dunarea Giurgiu
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-1 510 L
04/04 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
1-0 1-0 47 W
27/03 CSM Alexandria
Romania Liga III
1-1 2-2 32 D
21/03 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
1-2 1-6 26 L
13/03 CS U Craiova II
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-3 54 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSM Targu Jiu vs ACSO Filiasi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSM Targu Jiu win (58%). Probabilities: CSM Targu Jiu 58%, draw 23%, ACSO Filiasi 20%.

How many goals are expected in CSM Targu Jiu vs ACSO Filiasi?

The model expects 3.2 goals (CSM Targu Jiu 2.06 · ACSO Filiasi 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CSM Targu Jiu vs ACSO Filiasi?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.