Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: Reipas vs MyPa

Team pages: Reipas · MyPa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.91Total
Reipas2.49
MyPa1.42
1X2
60% 20% 20%
Reipas Draw MyPa
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Reipas 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DLWWLLLLDL
MyPa 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLDLLWWLL
Head-to-head
Reipas 5–1 MyPa (6 last)
  • MyPa5-1Reipas
  • Reipas4-2MyPa
  • MyPa0-5Reipas
  • Reipas4-2MyPa
  • MyPa1-3Reipas
  • Reipas5-0MyPa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Reipas 1460 · MyPa 1446
ReipasDrawMyPa
Our model60%20%20%
Market60%20%20%
Estimated total (ours) 3.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Reipas: 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ReipasMyPa
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 2.11.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.20.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 5.62.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 05.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Reipas 5–0–1 MyPa

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/09/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
MyPa5-1
HT 3-1
Reipas
25/07/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Reipas4-2
HT 1-0
MyPa
16/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
MyPa0-5
HT 0-4
Reipas
09/08/25
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Reipas4-2
HT 3-0
MyPa
08/06/25
Finland Kakkonen Group A
MyPa1-3
HT 0-3
Reipas
03/07/24
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Reipas5-0
HT 2-0
MyPa

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reipas 217311 364124
2 Union Plaani 217212 274623
3 Puiu 215511 314220
4 MyPa 215313 274618

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentReipasMyPa
Union Plaani 0-1 L 2-3 L
Puiu 0-0 D 0-3 L
PEPO 1-2 L 1-4 L
PPJ 2-1 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Reipas (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Reipas

DLWWLLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 0-1 53 L
12/09 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-0 93 D
04/09 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-3 1-5 43 L
22/08 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 0-1 73 L
16/08 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 1-2 22 L
07/08 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-2 2-4 74 L
02/08 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-0 2-1 22 W
25/07 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 4-2 75 W
18/07 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-4 1-4 53 L
12/07 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 1-1 84 D

MyPa

WLLDLLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 0-3 45 L
12/09 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 2-3 54 L
04/09 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
3-1 5-1 83 W
22/08 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 2-1 54 W
13/08 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 1-2 58 L
07/08 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 1-4 37 L
01/08 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-0 45 D
25/07 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 2-4 25 L
18/07 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-2 2-5 75 L
11/07 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 2-0 38 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Reipas vs MyPa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Reipas win (60%). Probabilities: Reipas 60%, draw 20%, MyPa 20%.

How many goals are expected in Reipas vs MyPa?

The model expects 3.91 goals (Reipas 2.49 · MyPa 1.42), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Reipas vs MyPa?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.