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Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: MuSa vs GrIFK

Team pages: MuSa · GrIFK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
MuSa1.71
GrIFK1.54
1X2
42% 24% 34%
MuSa Draw GrIFK
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
MuSa 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLLWLDDW
GrIFK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLWLWWDLDD
Head-to-head
MuSa 2–3–1 GrIFK (6 last)
  • GrIFK1-1MuSa
  • MuSa3-1GrIFK
  • GrIFK1-1MuSa
  • GrIFK3-2MuSa
  • GrIFK1-2MuSa
  • MuSa2-2GrIFK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MuSa 1453 · GrIFK 1479
MuSaDrawGrIFK
Our model41%25%34%
Market42%23%35%
Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours MuSa: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MuSaGrIFK
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 2.61.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 10.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/30/70%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.11.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 05.3 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · MuSa 2–3–1 GrIFK

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/09/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
GrIFK1-1
HT 1-0
MuSa
09/07/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
MuSa3-1
HT 1-0
GrIFK
02/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
GrIFK1-1
HT 1-0
MuSa
16/06/24
Finland Cup
GrIFK3-2
HT 2-1
MuSa
11/09/22
Finland Kakkonen Group B
GrIFK1-2
HT 1-0
MuSa
22/06/22
Finland Kakkonen Group B
MuSa2-2
HT 0-1
GrIFK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 GrIFK 22769 273627
2 EBK 225611 344621
3 MuSa 224513 246317
4 NJS 222119 18627

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMuSaGrIFK
NJS 3-2 W 1-2 L
EBK 1-1 D 1-1 D
AIFK 1-2 L 0-1 L
Tampereen Ilves 2 0-7 L 3-2 W
HJS 1-2 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: GrIFK (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MuSa

LLLLLWLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 1-1 3-2 125 W
18/09 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 0-1 1-1 75 D
12/09 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 0-1 1-1 85 D
04/09 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 0-1 0-4 62 L
22/08 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 0-0 2-1 26 W
15/08 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 0-1 0-4 –– L
08/08 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 1-1 1-2 04 L
04/08 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 0-1 0-7 41 L
25/07 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 0-1 0-2 03 L
18/07 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 1-2 1-2 74 L

GrIFK

LLWLWWDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 1-1 1-1 54 D
18/09 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 1-0 1-1 45 D
12/09 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 1-0 1-2 54 L
04/09 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 0-0 1-1 66 D
22/08 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 3-1 3-2 25 W
15/08 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 0-0 1-0 56 W
08/08 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 0-1 0-2 45 L
31/07 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 0-0 2-1 510 W
25/07 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 0-2 1-2 16 L
17/07 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
 0-1 0-1 67 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MuSa vs GrIFK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MuSa win (42%). Probabilities: MuSa 42%, draw 24%, GrIFK 34%.

How many goals are expected in MuSa vs GrIFK?

The model expects 3.25 goals (MuSa 1.71 · GrIFK 1.54), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MuSa vs GrIFK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.