Prediction: St Andrews vs Santa Lucia FC
Team pages: St Andrews · Santa Lucia FC
- St Andrews2-1Santa Lucia FC
- Santa Lucia FC2-0St Andrews
- St Andrews1-2Santa Lucia FC
- St Andrews1-4Santa Lucia FC
| St Andrews | Draw | Santa Lucia FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 27% | 49% |
| Market | 26% | 25% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santa Lucia FC (rating 1440 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Santa Lucia FC: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Andrews | Santa Lucia FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.1 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.7 | 2.5 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Andrews 1–0–3 Santa Lucia FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Malta Challenge League | St Andrews | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Santa Lucia FC |
| 24/11/24 Malta Challenge League | Santa Lucia FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | St Andrews |
| 16/03/22 Malta FA Trophy | St Andrews | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Santa Lucia FC |
| 05/05/19 Malta Play-Offs | St Andrews | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Santa Lucia FC |
Standings · Malta Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swieqi Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 2 | Fgura United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Melita FC Saint Julian | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Victoria Hotspurs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Tarxien Rainbows FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sirens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pieta Hotspurs | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 8 | Santa Lucia FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 9 | Attard | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Vittoriosa Stars | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | St Andrews | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Naxxar Lions | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Zurrieq FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Mgarr United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Gudja United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Zebbug Rangers FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Andrews | Santa Lucia FC |
|---|---|---|
| Birzebbuga | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Zebbug Rangers FC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Santa Lucia FC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Andrews
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Victoria Hotspurs Malta Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Pieta Hotspurs Malta Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Swieqi Utd Malta Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Birzebbuga Malta Challenge League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | Melita FC Saint Julian Malta Challenge League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/03 | Sirens Malta Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/03 | Fgura United Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 22/02 | Balzan FC Malta Challenge League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/02 | Santa Lucia FC Malta Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/02 | Zebbug Rangers FC Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Santa Lucia FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Vittoriosa Stars Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Mtarfa Malta Challenge League |
4-0 | 5-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Zurrieq FC Malta Challenge League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Mgarr United Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/03 | Marsa FC Malta Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/03 | Vittoriosa Stars Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/02 | Gudja United Malta Challenge League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 21/02 | Zebbug Rangers FC Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 14/02 | St Andrews Malta Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 07/02 | Birzebbuga Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Andrews vs Santa Lucia FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Santa Lucia FC win (49%). Probabilities: St Andrews 25%, draw 26%, Santa Lucia FC 49%.
How many goals are expected in St Andrews vs Santa Lucia FC?
The model expects 2.77 goals (St Andrews 1.12 · Santa Lucia FC 1.65), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in St Andrews vs Santa Lucia FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.