Football · Malta Challenge League · 19/09, 20:30
Prediction: Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United
Team pages: Vittoriosa Stars · Gudja United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Vittoriosa Stars1.33
Gudja United1.31
1X2
Vittoriosa Stars
Draw
Gudja United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Vittoriosa Stars
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Gudja United
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vittoriosa Stars
1–1–4
Gudja United
(6 last)
- Vittoriosa Stars2-3Gudja United
- Gudja United2-1Vittoriosa Stars
- Gudja United1-0Vittoriosa Stars
- Vittoriosa Stars2-5Gudja United
- Gudja United1-1Vittoriosa Stars
- Gudja United2-5Vittoriosa Stars
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vittoriosa Stars 1464 · Gudja United 1485
| Vittoriosa Stars | Draw | Gudja United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gudja United: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vittoriosa Stars | Gudja United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 4.3 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vittoriosa Stars 1–1–4 Gudja United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Malta Challenge League | Vittoriosa Stars | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Gudja United |
| 03/03/26 Malta Challenge League Cup | Gudja United | 2-1 | Vittoriosa Stars |
| 09/12/25 Malta Challenge League | Gudja United | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Vittoriosa Stars |
| 11/02/19 Malta Division 1 | Vittoriosa Stars | 2-5 HT 1-2 | Gudja United |
| 26/09/18 Malta Challenge League | Gudja United | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Vittoriosa Stars |
| 28/02/16 Malta Challenge League | Gudja United | 2-5 HT 1-4 | Vittoriosa Stars |
Standings · Malta Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swieqi Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 2 | Fgura United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Melita FC Saint Julian | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Victoria Hotspurs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Tarxien Rainbows FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sirens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pieta Hotspurs | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 8 | Santa Lucia FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 9 | Attard | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Vittoriosa Stars | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | St Andrews | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Naxxar Lions | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Zurrieq FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Mgarr United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Gudja United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Zebbug Rangers FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vittoriosa Stars | Gudja United |
|---|---|---|
| Santa Lucia FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Zebbug Rangers FC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Mtarfa | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Mgarr United | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Zurrieq FC | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Marsa FC | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| Melita FC Saint Julian | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Vittoriosa Stars (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vittoriosa Stars
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Santa Lucia FC Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Gudja United Malta Challenge League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Zebbug Rangers FC Malta Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 01/04 | Mtarfa Malta Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/03 | Mgarr United Malta Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/03 | Santa Lucia FC Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/02 | Zurrieq FC Malta Challenge League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/02 | Marsa FC Malta Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/02 | Melita FC Saint Julian Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/02 | Marsa FC Malta Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Gudja United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Melita FC Saint Julian Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Vittoriosa Stars Malta Challenge League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Mgarr United Malta Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Zebbug Rangers FC Malta Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 15/03 | Mtarfa Malta Challenge League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 08/03 | Marsa FC Malta Challenge League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 28/02 | Santa Lucia FC Malta Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 21/02 | Zurrieq FC Malta Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/02 | Mgarr United Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 08/02 | Swieqi Utd Malta Challenge League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vittoriosa Stars win (37%). Probabilities: Vittoriosa Stars 37%, draw 27%, Gudja United 36%.
How many goals are expected in Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Vittoriosa Stars 1.33 · Gudja United 1.31), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.