Football · Malta Challenge League · 19/09, 20:30

Prediction: Fgura United vs Sirens

Team pages: Fgura United · Sirens

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
Fgura United1.96
Sirens1.65
1X2
44% 24% 32%
Fgura United Draw Sirens
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Fgura United 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWLLLWDW
Sirens 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WWLLWWLLLW
Head-to-head
Fgura United 2–4 Sirens (6 last)
  • Sirens3-2Fgura United
  • Fgura United1-5Sirens
  • Fgura United5-1Sirens
  • Sirens1-2Fgura United
  • Sirens5-0Fgura United
  • Sirens2-0Fgura United
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fgura United 1494 · Sirens 1519
Fgura UnitedDrawSirens
Our model45%23%32%
Market44%25%31%
Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sirens: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Fgura UnitedSirens
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.72.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.61 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 5.43.1 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.43.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fgura United 204 Sirens

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/03/26
Malta Challenge League
Sirens3-2
HT 1-0
Fgura United
01/02/26
Malta Challenge League
Fgura United1-5
HT 1-1
Sirens
05/04/25
Malta Challenge League
Fgura United5-1
HT 3-1
Sirens
09/02/25
Malta Challenge League
Sirens1-2
HT 1-1
Fgura United
02/02/21
Malta FA Trophy
Sirens5-0
HT 3-0
Fgura United
05/02/17
Malta Division 1
Sirens2-0
HT 1-0
Fgura United

Standings · Malta Challenge League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Swieqi Utd 2110 654
2 Fgura United 1100 403
3 Melita FC Saint Julian 1100 303
3 Victoria Hotspurs 1100 303
5 Tarxien Rainbows FC 1100 313
6 Sirens 1100 103
7 Pieta Hotspurs 2101 553
8 Santa Lucia FC 2020 112
9 Attard 1010 331
10 Vittoriosa Stars 1010 001
11 St Andrews 2011 141
12 Naxxar Lions 1001 230
13 Zurrieq FC 1001 010
14 Mgarr United 1001 130
15 Gudja United 1001 030
16 Zebbug Rangers FC 1001 040

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFgura UnitedSirens
Swieqi Utd 1-1 D 0-2 L
Melita FC Saint Julian 1-0 W 0-2 L
Pieta Hotspurs 0-4 L 3-4 L
Balzan FC 1-2 L 0-1 L
St Andrews 2-0 W 3-0 W
Birzebbuga 1-3 L 2-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Sirens (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fgura United

WLLWLLLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Zebbug Rangers FC
Malta Challenge League
2-0 4-0 66 W
19/04 Swieqi Utd
Malta Challenge League
0-1 1-1 93 D
11/04 Melita FC Saint Julian
Malta Challenge League
1-0 1-0 132 W
04/04 Pieta Hotspurs
Malta Challenge League
0-0 0-4 21 L
15/03 Sirens
Malta Challenge League
0-1 2-3 51 L
10/03 Balzan FC
Malta Challenge League
0-2 1-2 74 L
01/03 St Andrews
Malta Challenge League
0-0 2-0 41 W
22/02 Birzebbuga
Malta Challenge League
0-2 1-3 13 L
15/02 Swieqi Utd
Malta Challenge League
1-0 1-2 28 L
07/02 Mgarr United
Malta Challenge League
1-0 4-2 52 W

Sirens

WWLLWWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Zurrieq FC
Malta Challenge League
0-0 1-0 44 W
19/04 Birzebbuga
Malta Challenge League
2-1 2-3 L
12/04 Pieta Hotspurs
Malta Challenge League
2-1 3-4 70 L
06/04 Balzan FC
Malta Challenge League
0-1 0-1 54 L
15/03 Fgura United
Malta Challenge League
1-0 3-2 81 W
07/03 St Andrews
Malta Challenge League
1-0 3-0 33 W
01/03 Swieqi Utd
Malta Challenge League
0-0 0-2 75 L
22/02 Melita FC Saint Julian
Malta Challenge League
0-1 0-2 110 L
15/02 Mtarfa
Malta Challenge League
3-0 8-0 33 W
07/02 Zurrieq FC
Malta Challenge League
1-0 1-0 55 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fgura United vs Sirens?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fgura United win (44%). Probabilities: Fgura United 44%, draw 24%, Sirens 32%.

How many goals are expected in Fgura United vs Sirens?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Fgura United 1.96 · Sirens 1.65), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Fgura United vs Sirens?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.