Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 27/08, 16:00
Prediction: Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Team pages: Dinamo Tbilisi II · Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Dinamo Tbilisi II1.67
Lokomotiv Tbilisi1.24
1X2
Dinamo Tbilisi II
Draw
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Dinamo Tbilisi II
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dinamo Tbilisi II
0–1–5
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
(6 last)
- Lokomotiv Tbilisi1-1Dinamo Tbilisi II
- Lokomotiv Tbilisi5-1Dinamo Tbilisi II
- Dinamo Tbilisi II1-3Lokomotiv Tbilisi
- Lokomotiv Tbilisi4-2Dinamo Tbilisi II
- Lokomotiv Tbilisi3-0Dinamo Tbilisi II
- Dinamo Tbilisi II0-1Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dinamo Tbilisi II 1506 · Lokomotiv Tbilisi 1574
| Dinamo Tbilisi II | Draw | Lokomotiv Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lokomotiv Tbilisi (rating 1506 vs 1574).
- H2H favours Lokomotiv Tbilisi: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dinamo Tbilisi II | Lokomotiv Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.2 | 2.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Tbilisi II 0–1–5 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 Georgia Liga 3 | Lokomotiv Tbilisi | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dinamo Tbilisi II |
| 06/12/25 Georgia First League | Lokomotiv Tbilisi | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Dinamo Tbilisi II |
| 05/10/25 Georgia First League | Dinamo Tbilisi II | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Lokomotiv Tbilisi |
| 11/08/25 Georgia First League | Lokomotiv Tbilisi | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Dinamo Tbilisi II |
| 20/07/25 Georgia Cup | Lokomotiv Tbilisi | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Dinamo Tbilisi II |
| 28/04/25 Georgia First League | Dinamo Tbilisi II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lokomotiv Tbilisi |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dinamo Tbilisi II | Lokomotiv Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Iveria Khashuri | 5-2 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Iberia 2010 | 4-3 W | 1-0 W |
| Kolkheti | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| FC Margveti 2006 | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Gardabani | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Merani Tbilisi | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dinamo Tbilisi II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Iveria Khashuri Georgia Liga 3 |
2-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/08 | FC Iberia 2010 Georgia Liga 3 |
3-1 | 4-3 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 06/08 | Kolkheti Georgia Liga 3 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | FC Margveti 2006 Georgia Liga 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 15/06 | Gardabani Georgia Liga 3 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | FC Merani Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 14/05 | FC Didube 2014 Georgia Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 08/05 | FC Orbi Georgia Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Wit Georgia Georgia Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | FC Tbilisi 2025 Georgia Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | FC Gonio Georgia Liga 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 13/08 | FC Iberia 1999 II Georgia Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 06/08 | Guria Lanchkhuti Georgia Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Iveria Khashuri Georgia Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 15/06 | FC Iberia 2010 Georgia Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/05 | Kolkheti Georgia Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | FC Margveti 2006 Georgia Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Gardabani Georgia Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 07/05 | Betlemi Georgia Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Merani Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Lokomotiv Tbilisi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Tbilisi II win (47%). Probabilities: Dinamo Tbilisi II 47%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Tbilisi 28%.
How many goals are expected in Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Lokomotiv Tbilisi?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Dinamo Tbilisi II 1.67 · Lokomotiv Tbilisi 1.24), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Lokomotiv Tbilisi?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.