Football · Argentina Championship Women · 30/08, 16:00
Prediction: Belgrano (W) vs Lanus (W)
Team pages: Belgrano (W) · Lanus (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Belgrano (W)1.6
Lanus (W)0.6
1X2
Belgrano (W)
Draw
Lanus (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Belgrano (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Lanus (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Belgrano (W)
1–1
Lanus (W)
(2 last)
- Lanus (W)3-2Belgrano (W)
- Belgrano (W)3-1Lanus (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belgrano (W) 1534 · Lanus (W) 1534
| Belgrano (W) | Draw | Lanus (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 27% | 13% |
| Market | 62% | 24% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Belgrano (W) | Lanus (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/50/25% | 13/63/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.1 | 0.9 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Belgrano (W) 1–0–1 Lanus (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Argentina Championship Women | Lanus (W) | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Belgrano (W) |
| 15/05/23 Argentina Championship Women | Belgrano (W) | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Lanus (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Banfield (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | River Plate (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | San Luis FC (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | Belgrano (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Huracan (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Lanus (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Racing Club (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 3 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Belgrano (W) | Lanus (W) |
|---|---|---|
| San Luis FC (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Banfield (W) | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Gimnasia LP (W) | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Lanus (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belgrano (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 10/08 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/07 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/07 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/07 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 26/06 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Lanus (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 08/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belgrano (W) vs Lanus (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Belgrano (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Belgrano (W) 61%, draw 25%, Lanus (W) 13%.
How many goals are expected in Belgrano (W) vs Lanus (W)?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Belgrano (W) 1.6 · Lanus (W) 0.6), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Belgrano (W) vs Lanus (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.