Football · Argentina Championship Women · 30/08, 16:00
Prediction: Newell's Old Boys (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)
Team pages: Newell's Old Boys (W) · San Lorenzo (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Newell's Old Boys (W)0.66
San Lorenzo (W)1.68
1X2
Newell's Old Boys (W)
Draw
San Lorenzo (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Newell's Old Boys (W)
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
San Lorenzo (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Newell's Old Boys (W)
2–2
San Lorenzo (W)
(4 last)
- San Lorenzo (W)5-0Newell's Old Boys (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)0-2Newell's Old Boys (W)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)0-1San Lorenzo (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)1-2Newell's Old Boys (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1400 · San Lorenzo (W) 1559
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | Draw | San Lorenzo (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 26% | 61% |
| Market | 14% | 24% | 62% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Lorenzo (W) (rating 1400 vs 1559).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | San Lorenzo (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/63/38% | 25/75/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.4 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Newell's Old Boys (W) 2–0–2 San Lorenzo (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 12/04/25 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 04/10/24 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 17/05/24 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Banfield (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | River Plate (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | San Luis FC (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | Belgrano (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Huracan (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Lanus (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Racing Club (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 3 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Newell's Old Boys (W) | San Lorenzo (W) |
|---|---|---|
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Boca Juniors (W) | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Lanus (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| San Luis FC (W) | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| CA Independiente Women | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Huracan (W) | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 7 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: San Lorenzo (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newell's Old Boys (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/06 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
San Lorenzo (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 27/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/06 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an San Lorenzo (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Newell's Old Boys (W) 14%, draw 25%, San Lorenzo (W) 61%.
How many goals are expected in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Newell's Old Boys (W) 0.66 · San Lorenzo (W) 1.68), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.