Football · Argentina Nacional B · 30/08, 20:00
Prediction: Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn
Team pages: Almirante Brown · Deportivo Madryn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.78Total
Almirante Brown0.87
Deportivo Madryn0.91
1X2
Almirante Brown
Draw
Deportivo Madryn
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Almirante Brown
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Madryn
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Almirante Brown
0–4
Deportivo Madryn
(4 last)
- Deportivo Madryn2-1Almirante Brown
- Deportivo Madryn5-1Almirante Brown
- Almirante Brown0-1Deportivo Madryn
- Deportivo Madryn2-0Almirante Brown
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Almirante Brown 1512 · Deportivo Madryn 1524
| Almirante Brown | Draw | Deportivo Madryn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 36% | 33% |
| Market | 32% | 33% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.78 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Madryn: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Almirante Brown | Deportivo Madryn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 56/44/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.1 | 1.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Almirante Brown 0–0–4 Deportivo Madryn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Almirante Brown |
| 20/10/24 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 5-1 HT 0-1 | Almirante Brown |
| 02/06/24 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Madryn |
| 26/06/22 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Almirante Brown |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Colon | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 45 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 40 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 22 | 40 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 22 | 35 |
| 8 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 35 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 15 | 33 |
| 10 | Racing de Cordoba | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 29 | 32 |
| 11 | CA San Miguel | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 29 |
| 12 | Club Atletico Mitre | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 29 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 27 |
| 15 | Defensores de Belgrano | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 26 |
| 16 | CA Chaco For Ever | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 29 | 25 |
| 17 | CA San Telmo | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 24 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Almirante Brown | Deportivo Madryn |
|---|---|---|
| Colon | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| CA San Miguel | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| CA San Telmo | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Acassuso | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| CA Chaco For Ever | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Central Norte | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Almirante Brown (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Almirante Brown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Deportivo Madryn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Madryn win (34%). Probabilities: Almirante Brown 32%, draw 34%, Deportivo Madryn 34%.
How many goals are expected in Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?
The model expects 1.78 goals (Almirante Brown 0.87 · Deportivo Madryn 0.91), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.