Football · Argentina Nacional B · 05/09, 22:00
Prediction: Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes
Team pages: Nueva Chicago · Quilmes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.75Total
Nueva Chicago0.86
Quilmes0.89
1X2
Nueva Chicago
Draw
Quilmes
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Nueva Chicago
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Quilmes
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nueva Chicago
2–3–1
Quilmes
(6 last)
- Quilmes0-0Nueva Chicago
- Nueva Chicago1-0Quilmes
- Quilmes0-0Nueva Chicago
- Nueva Chicago2-1Quilmes
- Quilmes3-1Nueva Chicago
- Nueva Chicago1-1Quilmes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nueva Chicago 1440 · Quilmes 1497
| Nueva Chicago | Draw | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 36% | 33% |
| Market | 32% | 34% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.75 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quilmes (rating 1440 vs 1497).
- H2H favours Nueva Chicago: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nueva Chicago | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.2 | 2.9 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nueva Chicago 2–3–1 Quilmes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nueva Chicago |
| 16/11/24 Argentina Nacional B | Nueva Chicago | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Quilmes |
| 10/11/24 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nueva Chicago |
| 03/10/22 Argentina Nacional B | Nueva Chicago | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Quilmes |
| 24/10/21 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Nueva Chicago |
| 28/06/21 Argentina Nacional B | Nueva Chicago | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Quilmes |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 45 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 45 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 43 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 42 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 19 | 41 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 41 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 39 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 34 | 28 | 38 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 35 |
| 11 | CA Colegiales | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 25 | 34 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 22 | 32 |
| 13 | Almagro | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 31 |
| 14 | Nueva Chicago | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 27 | 29 |
| 15 | Agropecuario | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 30 | 29 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 26 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 29 | 28 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 29 | 27 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 40 | 22 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nueva Chicago | Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrocarril Midland | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Atlanta | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Quilmes (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nueva Chicago
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/08 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 25/07 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Quilmes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/08 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
1-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 27/07 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (35%). Probabilities: Nueva Chicago 32%, draw 35%, Quilmes 34%.
How many goals are expected in Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes?
The model expects 1.75 goals (Nueva Chicago 0.86 · Quilmes 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.