Football · Argentina Nacional B · 05/09, 22:00
Prediction: Central Norte vs Almirante Brown
Team pages: Central Norte · Almirante Brown
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.61Total
Central Norte0.89
Almirante Brown0.72
1X2
Central Norte
Draw
Almirante Brown
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
Central Norte
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Almirante Brown
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Central Norte
1–1–1
Almirante Brown
(3 last)
- Almirante Brown1-0Central Norte
- Almirante Brown0-0Central Norte
- Central Norte2-1Almirante Brown
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Central Norte 1499 · Almirante Brown 1572
| Central Norte | Draw | Almirante Brown | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 38% | 26% |
| Market | 37% | 35% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.61 goals · Bet365 line 1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almirante Brown (rating 1499 vs 1572).
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Norte | Almirante Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/44/33% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 1.8 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Norte 1–1–1 Almirante Brown
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Central Norte |
| 10/08/25 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Central Norte |
| 06/04/25 Argentina Nacional B | Central Norte | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Almirante Brown |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 52 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 46 |
| 3 | Colon | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 45 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 38 | 24 | 43 |
| 5 | Almirante Brown | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 16 | 41 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 24 | 40 |
| 7 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 23 | 38 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 22 | 35 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 15 | 33 |
| 10 | Racing de Cordoba | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 29 | 32 |
| 11 | Club Atletico Mitre | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 29 |
| 12 | CA San Miguel | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 29 |
| 13 | CA Chaco For Ever | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 28 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 28 |
| 15 | CA San Telmo | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 30 | 27 |
| 16 | All Boys | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 24 | 27 |
| 17 | Defensores de Belgrano | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 26 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 22 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Central Norte | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atletico Mitre | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| All Boys | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Los Andes | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Godoy Cruz | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Norte
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 27/08 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 10/08 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/06 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
Almirante Brown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/07 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Norte vs Almirante Brown?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Central Norte win (37%). Probabilities: Central Norte 37%, draw 36%, Almirante Brown 27%.
How many goals are expected in Central Norte vs Almirante Brown?
The model expects 1.61 goals (Central Norte 0.89 · Almirante Brown 0.72), with a 51% chance of over 1.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Norte vs Almirante Brown?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.