Football · Argentina Nacional B · 06/09, 21:00
Prediction: Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato Parana
Team pages: Deportivo Maipu · Patronato Parana
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Deportivo Maipu1.48
Patronato Parana0.74
1X2
Deportivo Maipu
Draw
Patronato Parana
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Maipu
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Patronato Parana
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Maipu
2–2–1
Patronato Parana
(5 last)
- Patronato Parana0-0Deportivo Maipu
- Patronato Parana1-0Deportivo Maipu
- Deportivo Maipu1-1Patronato Parana
- Deportivo Maipu3-1Patronato Parana
- Patronato Parana1-2Deportivo Maipu
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Maipu (rating 1517 vs 1461).
- H2H favours Deportivo Maipu: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Maipu | Patronato Parana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 56/33/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.1 | 2.8 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Maipu 2–2–1 Patronato Parana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Patronato Parana | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Maipu |
| 20/07/25 Argentina Nacional B | Patronato Parana | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Maipu |
| 16/03/25 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Patronato Parana |
| 18/08/24 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Patronato Parana |
| 31/03/24 Argentina Nacional B | Patronato Parana | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Maipu |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 45 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 45 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 43 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 42 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 19 | 41 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 41 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 39 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 34 | 28 | 38 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 35 |
| 11 | CA Colegiales | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 25 | 34 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 22 | 32 |
| 13 | Almagro | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 31 |
| 14 | Nueva Chicago | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 27 | 29 |
| 15 | Agropecuario | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 30 | 29 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 26 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 29 | 28 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 29 | 27 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 40 | 22 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Maipu | Patronato Parana |
|---|---|---|
| CA Colegiales | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Quilmes | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Ferrocarril Midland | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Atlanta | 4-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| San Martin de Tucuman | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Patronato Parana (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Maipu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
2-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 11/07 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
Patronato Parana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 26/08 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
3-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 26/07 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato Parana?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Maipu win (54%). Probabilities: Deportivo Maipu 54%, draw 29%, Patronato Parana 17%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato Parana?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Deportivo Maipu 1.48 · Patronato Parana 0.74), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato Parana?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.