Football · Argentina Nacional B · 05/09, 22:00

Prediction: CA Guemes vs Gimnasia y Tiro

Team pages: CA Guemes · Gimnasia y Tiro

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.81Total
CA Guemes0.75
Gimnasia y Tiro1.06
1X2
25% 33% 41%
CA Guemes Draw Gimnasia y Tiro
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Guemes 0-4-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLDDDD
Gimnasia y Tiro 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DWDWWWWDLW
Head-to-head
CA Guemes 0–2–1 Gimnasia y Tiro (3 last)
  • Gimnasia y Tiro1-1CA Guemes
  • CA Guemes1-1Gimnasia y Tiro
  • Gimnasia y Tiro1-0CA Guemes
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Guemes 1434 · Gimnasia y Tiro 1545
CA GuemesDrawGimnasia y Tiro
Our model24%35%41%
Market26%32%42%
Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia y Tiro (rating 1434 vs 1545).
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA GuemesGimnasia y Tiro
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 1.81.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 2.92.1 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.23.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Guemes 021 Gimnasia y Tiro

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/04/26
Argentina Nacional B
Gimnasia y Tiro1-1
HT 1-0
CA Guemes
20/07/25
Argentina Nacional B
CA Guemes1-1
HT 0-0
Gimnasia y Tiro
16/03/25
Argentina Nacional B
Gimnasia y Tiro1-0
HT 1-0
CA Guemes

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tristan Suarez 251294 261445
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 261367 393245
3 Club Atletico Temperley 2611105 292243
4 CA Atlanta 2613310 312742
5 Ferrocarril Midland 261187 291941
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 271188 282541
7 Atletico Rafaela 271098 202039
8 Deportivo Maipu 2711511 342838
9 San Martin SJ 25988 272435
10 San Martin de Tucuman 268117 262335
11 CA Colegiales 269710 242534
12 Quilmes 268810 272232
13 Almagro 268711 212931
14 Nueva Chicago 277812 202729
15 Agropecuario 267811 223029
16 Patronato Parana 265138 232928
17 Chacarita Juniors 277614 192927
18 CA Guemes 255713 204022

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA GuemesGimnasia y Tiro
Chacarita Juniors 0-0 D 1-0 W
San Martin SJ 0-2 L 1-3 L
Nueva Chicago 0-2 L 2-0 W
Club Atletico Temperley 1-4 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gimnasia y Tiro (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Guemes

LLLLLLDDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 San Martin de Tucuman
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 1-1 25 D
24/08 Atletico Rafaela
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 32 D
19/08 Chacarita Juniors
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 13 D
15/08 Club Atletico Mitre
Argentina Nacional B
1-1 1-1 15 D
08/08 Agropecuario
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-3 54 L
26/07 Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 1-2 32 L
12/07 San Martin SJ
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-2 54 L
04/07 Nueva Chicago
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-2 33 L
21/06 Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentina Nacional B
1-2 1-3 60 L
14/06 Club Atletico Temperley
Argentina Nacional B
1-2 1-4 06 L

Gimnasia y Tiro

DWDWWWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Chacarita Juniors
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-0 17 W
22/08 San Martin SJ
Argentina Nacional B
0-2 1-3 30 L
16/08 Central Norte
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 36 D
09/08 Nueva Chicago
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 2-0 92 W
05/08 Almagro
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 2-0 25 W
02/08 Club Atletico Temperley
Argentina Nacional B
2-0 2-1 32 W
26/07 Deportivo Maipu
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-0 25 W
12/07 Patronato Parana
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 1-1 65 D
04/07 CA Colegiales
Argentina Nacional B
1-1 2-1 34 W
21/06 Deportivo Maipu
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 35 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Guemes vs Gimnasia y Tiro?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gimnasia y Tiro win (41%). Probabilities: CA Guemes 25%, draw 33%, Gimnasia y Tiro 41%.

How many goals are expected in CA Guemes vs Gimnasia y Tiro?

The model expects 1.81 goals (CA Guemes 0.75 · Gimnasia y Tiro 1.06), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Guemes vs Gimnasia y Tiro?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.