Football · Argentina Nacional B · 29/08, 21:00
Prediction: Atletico Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez
Team pages: Atletico Rafaela · Tristan Suarez
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.49Total
Atletico Rafaela0.79
Tristan Suarez0.7
1X2
Atletico Rafaela
Draw
Tristan Suarez
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
0-0 24%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Rafaela
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Tristan Suarez
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Rafaela
2–3–1
Tristan Suarez
(6 last)
- Tristan Suarez0-0Atletico Rafaela
- Tristan Suarez0-0Atletico Rafaela
- Atletico Rafaela3-0Tristan Suarez
- Tristan Suarez4-0Atletico Rafaela
- Tristan Suarez1-2Atletico Rafaela
- Atletico Rafaela2-2Tristan Suarez
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Rafaela 1491 · Tristan Suarez 1522
| Atletico Rafaela | Draw | Tristan Suarez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 39% | 28% |
| Market | 35% | 35% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.49 goals · Bet365 line 1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico Rafaela: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Rafaela | Tristan Suarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Rafaela 2–3–1 Tristan Suarez
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 17/06/23 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 11/02/23 Argentina Nacional B | Atletico Rafaela | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Tristan Suarez |
| 26/06/22 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 25/09/21 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 14/05/21 Argentina Nacional B | Atletico Rafaela | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Tristan Suarez |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Atlanta | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 11 | 33 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | Atletico Rafaela | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| 5 | Club Atletico Temperley | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 26 |
| 6 | Ferrocarril Midland | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 13 | 25 |
| 7 | San Martin de Tucuman | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 22 |
| 8 | Quilmes | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 21 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 21 |
| 10 | Nueva Chicago | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 21 |
| 11 | San Martin SJ | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | CA Colegiales | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 20 |
| 13 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 20 |
| 14 | Patronato Parana | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 20 |
| 15 | Almagro | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 19 |
| 16 | CA Guemes | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 19 |
| 17 | Agropecuario | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 18 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 18 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Rafaela | Tristan Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Nueva Chicago | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Maipu | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Patronato Parana | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| CA Colegiales | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Quilmes | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Ferrocarril Midland | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| CA Atlanta | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Rafaela
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Tristan Suarez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 20/04 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (37%). Probabilities: Atletico Rafaela 34%, draw 37%, Tristan Suarez 29%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez?
The model expects 1.49 goals (Atletico Rafaela 0.79 · Tristan Suarez 0.7), with a 51% chance of under 1.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.