Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women · 30/08, 08:00

Prediction: Lake Macquarie (W) vs Broadmeadow Magic (W)

Team pages: Lake Macquarie (W) · Broadmeadow Magic (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Lake Macquarie (W)2.05

Broadmeadow Magic (W)1.35

1X2

53% 23% 24%

Lake Macquarie (W) Draw Broadmeadow Magic (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Lake Macquarie (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWDLWL

Broadmeadow Magic (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDLDWLLW

Head-to-head

Lake Macquarie (W) 3–3–0 Broadmeadow Magic (W) (6 last)

Broadmeadow Magic (W)0-0Lake Macquarie (W)
Lake Macquarie (W)5-1Broadmeadow Magic (W)
Lake Macquarie (W)3-3Broadmeadow Magic (W)
Broadmeadow Magic (W)0-6Lake Macquarie (W)
Lake Macquarie (W)2-2Broadmeadow Magic (W)
Broadmeadow Magic (W)1-8Lake Macquarie (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lake Macquarie (W) 1494 · Broadmeadow Magic (W) 1471

	Lake Macquarie (W)	Draw	Broadmeadow Magic (W)
Our model	53%	23%	24%
Market	53%	23%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lake Macquarie (W): 3-3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lake Macquarie (W)	Broadmeadow Magic (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.4	2.6 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.8 / 0	1.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.90

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.70▼	Bet365 1.70
X	4.00 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	3.50 → 3.70▲	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:25 +4’	1.73	4.00	3.50
09:41 +11’	1.70▼	3.90▼	3.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lake Macquarie (W) 3–3–0 Broadmeadow Magic (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/07/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Lake Macquarie (W)
10/05/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Lake Macquarie (W)	5-1 HT 1-1	Broadmeadow Magic (W)
06/03/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Lake Macquarie (W)	3-3 HT 2-2	Broadmeadow Magic (W)
25/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	0-6 HT 0-4	Lake Macquarie (W)
24/05/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Lake Macquarie (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Broadmeadow Magic (W)
14/03/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	1-8 HT 0-3	Lake Macquarie (W)

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maitland FC (W)	18	16	1	1	76	11	49
2	New Lambton FC (W)	18	15	1	2	70	29	46
3	Lake Macquarie (W)	18	7	4	7	24	33	25
4	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	18	5	4	9	38	41	19
5	Adamstown Rosebud (W)	18	5	3	10	36	42	18
6	Charlestown Azzurri (W)	18	3	4	11	18	54	13
7	Newcastle Olympic FC (W)	18	3	1	14	20	72	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lake Macquarie (W)	Broadmeadow Magic (W)
New Lambton FC (W)	0-4 L	1-3 L
Charlestown Azzurri (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Maitland FC (W)	1-3 L	0-1 L
Adamstown Rosebud (W)	1-0 W	0-3 L
Newcastle Olympic FC (W)	2-1 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Broadmeadow Magic (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lake Macquarie (W)

WDLLWWDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-3	0-4	7	0	L
02/08	Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
26/07	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-1	1-3	2	2	L
17/07	Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
28/06	Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	9	1	W
21/06	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	6	0	W
10/06	Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
02/06	New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-3	1-3	8	0	L
17/05	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-0	1-1	5	0	D
10/05	Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-1	5-1	7	0	W

Broadmeadow Magic (W)

WLLDLDWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
07/08	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
31/07	New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-1	1-3	3	0	L
26/07	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-0	6-0	5	5	W
17/07	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
19/06	Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	4	2	L
13/06	Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
10/06	New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-2	2-3	3	1	L
03/06	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-4	2-6	1	1	L
15/05	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-0	5-0	7	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lake Macquarie (W) vs Broadmeadow Magic (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lake Macquarie (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Lake Macquarie (W) 53%, draw 23%, Broadmeadow Magic (W) 24%.

How many goals are expected in Lake Macquarie (W) vs Broadmeadow Magic (W)?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Lake Macquarie (W) 2.05 · Broadmeadow Magic (W) 1.35), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lake Macquarie (W) vs Broadmeadow Magic (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.