Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women · 23/08, 07:00

Prediction: Adamstown Rosebud (W) vs Maitland FC (W)

Team pages: Adamstown Rosebud (W) · Maitland FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.92Total

Adamstown Rosebud (W)0.96

Maitland FC (W)2.96

1X2

7% 12% 80%

Adamstown Rosebud (W) Draw Maitland FC (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Adamstown Rosebud (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWLWWL

Maitland FC (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Adamstown Rosebud (W) 0–2–4 Maitland FC (W) (6 last)

Maitland FC (W)4-0Adamstown Rosebud (W)
Adamstown Rosebud (W)0-2Maitland FC (W)
Adamstown Rosebud (W)1-1Maitland FC (W)
Maitland FC (W)2-2Adamstown Rosebud (W)
Adamstown Rosebud (W)0-2Maitland FC (W)
Adamstown Rosebud (W)1-6Maitland FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adamstown Rosebud (W) 1486 · Maitland FC (W) 1615

	Adamstown Rosebud (W)	Draw	Maitland FC (W)
Our model	9%	14%	77%
Market	6%	11%	83%

Estimated total (ours) 3.92 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maitland FC (W) (rating 1486 vs 1615).
H2H favours Maitland FC (W): 4-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Adamstown Rosebud (W)	Maitland FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2.2	3.6 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.2	1.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 2.6	3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.2 / 0.1	0.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

115.00

X8.50

21.11

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.25)1.88

2 (-2.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 19:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.50 → 15.00▲	Bet365 15.00
X	6.25 → 8.50▲	Bet365 8.50
2	1.25 → 1.11▼	Bet365 1.11

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
09:21 +4’	8.50	6.25	1.25
02:57 +14’	9.50▲	6.25	1.22▼
23:10 +5’	19.00▲	9.50▲	1.09▼
04:33 +6’	11.00▼	7.00▼	1.17▲
19:17 +6’	15.00▲	8.50▲	1.11▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Adamstown Rosebud (W) 0–2–4 Maitland FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Maitland FC (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	Adamstown Rosebud (W)
12/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Adamstown Rosebud (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Maitland FC (W)
18/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Adamstown Rosebud (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Maitland FC (W)
18/05/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Maitland FC (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Adamstown Rosebud (W)
09/03/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Adamstown Rosebud (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Maitland FC (W)
25/08/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Adamstown Rosebud (W)	1-6 HT 0-5	Maitland FC (W)

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maitland FC (W)	17	15	1	1	73	10	46
2	New Lambton FC (W)	17	14	1	2	60	29	43
3	Lake Macquarie (W)	18	7	4	7	24	33	25
4	Adamstown Rosebud (W)	17	5	3	9	35	39	18
5	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	17	4	4	9	37	41	16
6	Charlestown Azzurri (W)	17	3	4	10	18	53	13
7	Newcastle Olympic FC (W)	17	3	1	13	20	62	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Adamstown Rosebud (W)	Maitland FC (W)
New Lambton FC (W)	0-4 L	1-2 L
Newcastle Olympic FC (W)	2-1 W	5-0 W
Charlestown Azzurri (W)	8-2 W	6-0 W
Lake Macquarie (W)	0-1 L	3-1 W
Broadmeadow Magic (W)	3-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Maitland FC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Adamstown Rosebud (W)

LLDWLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-3	0-4	4	0	L
09/08	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
25/07	Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	4-0	8-2	1	1	W
28/06	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	0	1	L
19/06	Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
14/06	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-2	0-4	1	1	L
30/05	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-2	4-2	4	2	W
16/05	Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-1	2-2	2	1	D
08/05	New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-3	2-4	3	3	L
26/04	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	1-2	6	0	L

Maitland FC (W)

WDWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
02/08	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-0	5-0	4	1	W
26/07	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-0	3-1	4	2	W
19/07	Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	3-0	6-0	0	0	W
27/06	New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-1	1-2	8	0	L
14/06	Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-0	4-0	8	1	W
03/06	Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	4-0	6-2	6	1	W
22/05	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-0	5-0	9	1	W
17/05	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-1	1-1	3	0	D
09/05	Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-0	4-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adamstown Rosebud (W) vs Maitland FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Maitland FC (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Adamstown Rosebud (W) 7%, draw 12%, Maitland FC (W) 80%.

How many goals are expected in Adamstown Rosebud (W) vs Maitland FC (W)?

The model expects 3.92 goals (Adamstown Rosebud (W) 0.96 · Maitland FC (W) 2.96), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Adamstown Rosebud (W) vs Maitland FC (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.