Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women · 23/08, 07:00

Prediction: Broadmeadow Magic (W) vs Charlestown Azzurri (W)

Team pages: Broadmeadow Magic (W) · Charlestown Azzurri (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.22Total

Broadmeadow Magic (W)2.51

Charlestown Azzurri (W)1.71

1X2

55% 20% 25%

Broadmeadow Magic (W) Draw Charlestown Azzurri (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Broadmeadow Magic (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Charlestown Azzurri (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Broadmeadow Magic (W) 2–2–2 Charlestown Azzurri (W) (6 last)

Charlestown Azzurri (W)0-0Broadmeadow Magic (W)
Broadmeadow Magic (W)6-0Charlestown Azzurri (W)
Broadmeadow Magic (W)0-6Charlestown Azzurri (W)
Charlestown Azzurri (W)2-0Broadmeadow Magic (W)
Broadmeadow Magic (W)4-4Charlestown Azzurri (W)
Charlestown Azzurri (W)2-6Broadmeadow Magic (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Broadmeadow Magic (W) 1470 · Charlestown Azzurri (W) 1436

	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	Draw	Charlestown Azzurri (W)
Our model	55%	20%	25%
Market	54%	21%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 4.22 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	Charlestown Azzurri (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.1	1.1 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.3 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.6	2.4 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0.1	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.33

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.98

Under 4.251.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 19:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.65▼	Bet365 1.65
X	4.10 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
2	2.90 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:24 +1’	1.90	4.10	2.90
16:33 +7’	1.50▼	4.50▲	4.20▲
05:49 +8’	1.57▲	4.33▼	3.90▼
04:30 +9’	1.42▼	4.75▲	5.00▲
19:20 +2’	1.65▲	4.33▼	3.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Broadmeadow Magic (W) 2–2–2 Charlestown Azzurri (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Charlestown Azzurri (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Broadmeadow Magic (W)
10/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	6-0 HT 3-0	Charlestown Azzurri (W)
07/06/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	0-6 HT 0-2	Charlestown Azzurri (W)
31/08/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Charlestown Azzurri (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Broadmeadow Magic (W)
07/07/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	4-4 HT 3-0	Charlestown Azzurri (W)
04/05/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Charlestown Azzurri (W)	2-6 HT 1-3	Broadmeadow Magic (W)

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maitland FC (W)	17	15	1	1	73	10	46
2	New Lambton FC (W)	17	14	1	2	60	29	43
3	Lake Macquarie (W)	18	7	4	7	24	33	25
4	Adamstown Rosebud (W)	17	5	3	9	35	39	18
5	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	17	4	4	9	37	41	16
6	Charlestown Azzurri (W)	17	3	4	10	18	53	13
7	Newcastle Olympic FC (W)	17	3	1	13	20	62	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	Charlestown Azzurri (W)
Maitland FC (W)	0-1 L	0-6 L
New Lambton FC (W)	1-3 L	0-3 L
Newcastle Olympic FC (W)	6-0 W	5-1 W
Lake Macquarie (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Adamstown Rosebud (W)	0-3 L	2-8 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Broadmeadow Magic (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Broadmeadow Magic (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
31/07	New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-1	1-3	3	0	L
26/07	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-0	6-0	5	5	W
17/07	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
19/06	Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	4	2	L
13/06	Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
10/06	New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-2	2-3	3	1	L
03/06	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-4	2-6	1	1	L
15/05	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-0	5-0	7	0	W
10/05	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-1	1-5	2	0	L

Charlestown Azzurri (W)

LLDWDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
29/07	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-1	5-1	6	2	W
25/07	Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-4	2-8	4	1	L
19/07	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-3	0-6	0	0	L
20/06	New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	2	1	L
13/06	Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
10/06	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
16/05	Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-1	2-2	2	1	D
09/05	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-2	0-4	0	2	L
24/04	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-3	0-3	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Broadmeadow Magic (W) vs Charlestown Azzurri (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Broadmeadow Magic (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Broadmeadow Magic (W) 55%, draw 20%, Charlestown Azzurri (W) 25%.

How many goals are expected in Broadmeadow Magic (W) vs Charlestown Azzurri (W)?

The model expects 4.22 goals (Broadmeadow Magic (W) 2.51 · Charlestown Azzurri (W) 1.71), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Broadmeadow Magic (W) vs Charlestown Azzurri (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.