Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women · 23/08, 07:00
Prediction: New Lambton FC (W) vs Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
Team pages: New Lambton FC (W) · Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.81Total
New Lambton FC (W)3.4
Newcastle Olympic FC (W)1.4
1X2
New Lambton FC (W)
Draw
Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
New Lambton FC (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
New Lambton FC (W)
3–1–2
Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
(6 last)
- Newcastle Olympic FC (W)1-6New Lambton FC (W)
- New Lambton FC (W)3-2Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
- New Lambton FC (W)2-5Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
- Newcastle Olympic FC (W)4-4New Lambton FC (W)
- New Lambton FC (W)2-1Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
- New Lambton FC (W)1-5Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · New Lambton FC (W) 1608 · Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 1385
| New Lambton FC (W) | Draw | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 12% |
| Market | 93% | 5% | 2% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.81 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 86%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours New Lambton FC (W) (rating 1608 vs 1385).
- H2H favours New Lambton FC (W): 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New Lambton FC (W) | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.8 | 1.8 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 1.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · New Lambton FC (W) 3–1–2 Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | 1-6 HT 1-4 | New Lambton FC (W) |
| 11/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | New Lambton FC (W) | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) |
| 24/08/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | New Lambton FC (W) | 2-5 HT 1-3 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) |
| 19/08/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | 4-4 HT 2-0 | New Lambton FC (W) |
| 15/06/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | New Lambton FC (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) |
| 05/04/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | New Lambton FC (W) | 1-5 HT 1-1 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) |
Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maitland FC (W) | 17 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 73 | 10 | 46 |
| 2 | New Lambton FC (W) | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 60 | 29 | 43 |
| 3 | Lake Macquarie (W) | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 25 |
| 4 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 39 | 18 |
| 5 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 41 | 16 |
| 6 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 13 |
| 7 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 62 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | New Lambton FC (W) | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Adamstown Rosebud (W) | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Lake Macquarie (W) | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Broadmeadow Magic (W) | 3-1 W | 0-6 L |
| Maitland FC (W) | 2-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Charlestown Azzurri (W) | 3-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: New Lambton FC (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New Lambton FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 31/07 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
4-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 10/06 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 02/06 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-8 | 1 | 0 | L |
Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 29/07 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-6 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-4 | 1-6 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in New Lambton FC (W) vs Newcastle Olympic FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a New Lambton FC (W) win (85%). Probabilities: New Lambton FC (W) 85%, draw 9%, Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in New Lambton FC (W) vs Newcastle Olympic FC (W)?
The model expects 4.81 goals (New Lambton FC (W) 3.4 · Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 1.4), with a 53% chance of under 5 goals.
Will both teams score in New Lambton FC (W) vs Newcastle Olympic FC (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.