Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women · 05/09, 08:30
Prediction: New Lambton FC (W) vs Broadmeadow Magic (W)
Team pages: New Lambton FC (W) · Broadmeadow Magic (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.45Total
New Lambton FC (W)3.2
Broadmeadow Magic (W)1.25
1X2
New Lambton FC (W)
Draw
Broadmeadow Magic (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
New Lambton FC (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Broadmeadow Magic (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
New Lambton FC (W)
4–1–1
Broadmeadow Magic (W)
(6 last)
- Broadmeadow Magic (W)1-3New Lambton FC (W)
- New Lambton FC (W)3-2Broadmeadow Magic (W)
- Broadmeadow Magic (W)1-5New Lambton FC (W)
- New Lambton FC (W)6-0Broadmeadow Magic (W)
- New Lambton FC (W)3-3Broadmeadow Magic (W)
- Broadmeadow Magic (W)3-2New Lambton FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · New Lambton FC (W) 1609 · Broadmeadow Magic (W) 1457
| New Lambton FC (W) | Draw | Broadmeadow Magic (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 75% | 15% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.45 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours New Lambton FC (W) (rating 1609 vs 1457).
- H2H favours New Lambton FC (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New Lambton FC (W) | Broadmeadow Magic (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.9 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.3 | 2.1 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.4 / 0 | 1.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · New Lambton FC (W) 4–1–1 Broadmeadow Magic (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Broadmeadow Magic (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | New Lambton FC (W) |
| 10/06/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | New Lambton FC (W) | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) |
| 22/03/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Broadmeadow Magic (W) | 1-5 HT 1-1 | New Lambton FC (W) |
| 22/06/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | New Lambton FC (W) | 6-0 HT 4-0 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) |
| 01/05/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | New Lambton FC (W) | 3-3 HT 1-0 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) |
| 24/02/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Broadmeadow Magic (W) | 3-2 HT 2-1 | New Lambton FC (W) |
Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maitland FC (W) | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 11 | 49 |
| 2 | New Lambton FC (W) | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 70 | 29 | 46 |
| 3 | Lake Macquarie (W) | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 25 |
| 4 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 41 | 19 |
| 5 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 42 | 18 |
| 6 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 54 | 13 |
| 7 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 20 | 72 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | New Lambton FC (W) | Broadmeadow Magic (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Maitland FC (W) | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | 10-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Adamstown Rosebud (W) | 4-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Lake Macquarie (W) | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Charlestown Azzurri (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: New Lambton FC (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New Lambton FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 10-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 19/08 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 31/07 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
4-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 10/06 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 02/06 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
Broadmeadow Magic (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 23/08 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 26/07 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 19/06 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/06 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/06 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-4 | 2-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in New Lambton FC (W) vs Broadmeadow Magic (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a New Lambton FC (W) win (75%). Probabilities: New Lambton FC (W) 75%, draw 14%, Broadmeadow Magic (W) 11%.
How many goals are expected in New Lambton FC (W) vs Broadmeadow Magic (W)?
The model expects 4.45 goals (New Lambton FC (W) 3.2 · Broadmeadow Magic (W) 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in New Lambton FC (W) vs Broadmeadow Magic (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.