Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 29/08, 07:30

Prediction: Playford vs Adelaide City

Team pages: Playford · Adelaide City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

Playford0.94

Adelaide City1.51

1X2

24% 26% 51%

Playford Draw Adelaide City

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Playford 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLLWW

Adelaide City 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWWWW

Head-to-head

Playford 0–1–4 Adelaide City (5 last)

Adelaide City1-0Playford
Playford0-0Adelaide City
Adelaide City2-0Playford
Playford3-4Adelaide City
Playford0-2Adelaide City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Playford 1496 · Adelaide City 1601

	Playford	Draw	Adelaide City
Our model	22%	28%	49%
Market	25%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide City (rating 1496 vs 1601).
H2H favours Adelaide City: 4-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Playford	Adelaide City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	2.1 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	1.3 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.3	2.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.80

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
X	3.80 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
2	1.73 → 1.61▼	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
10:09 +4’	3.60	3.80	1.73
02:54 +5’	4.00▲	4.00▲	1.61▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Playford 0–1–4 Adelaide City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/08/26 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide City	1-0 HT 0-0	Playford
16/05/26 Australia South Australia Premier League	Playford	0-0 HT 0-0	Adelaide City
21/06/25 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide City	2-0 HT 1-0	Playford
22/03/25 Australia South Australia Premier League	Playford	3-4 HT 0-2	Adelaide City
04/02/25 Australia Friendlies	Playford	0-2 HT 0-0	Adelaide City

Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide City	22	14	6	2	44	16	48
2	West Torrens Birkalla	22	15	2	5	55	27	47
3	Metrostars	22	13	5	4	53	23	44
4	Playford	22	10	5	7	42	31	35
5	White City FK Beograd	22	10	3	9	35	30	33
6	Croydon FC	22	8	6	8	46	41	30
7	Adelaide United NPL	22	7	8	7	33	32	29
8	Campbelltown City	22	8	5	9	35	36	29
9	Sturt Lions	22	8	3	11	35	36	27
10	West Adelaide	22	6	7	9	40	44	25
11	Adelaide Comets	22	5	5	12	25	38	20
12	Para Hills Knights	22	0	1	21	14	103	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Playford	Adelaide City
White City FK Beograd	3-0 W	3-0 W
West Torrens Birkalla	0-1 L	1-0 W
Para Hills Knights	4-2 W	2-0 W
Metrostars	1-0 W	3-0 W
Sturt Lions	0-1 L	4-1 W
Campbelltown City	4-1 W	4-0 W
Croydon FC	1-4 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Adelaide City (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Playford

LWLLWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
15/08	West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
07/08	Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
01/08	West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
25/07	Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League	0-1	4-2	8	2	W
18/07	Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
04/07	Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-1	10	4	L
27/06	White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
20/06	Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	4-1	5	1	W
13/06	Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League	1-2	1-4	3	3	L

Adelaide City

WDWWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	3-0	2	4	W
07/08	Playford Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
31/07	Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League	4-0	4-0	4	5	W
25/07	West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	0	W
18/07	Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
04/07	Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	2-0	6	1	W
26/06	Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
20/06	Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
13/06	Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
05/06	Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	4-1	7	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Playford vs Adelaide City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Adelaide City win (51%). Probabilities: Playford 24%, draw 26%, Adelaide City 51%.

How many goals are expected in Playford vs Adelaide City?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Playford 0.94 · Adelaide City 1.51), with a 61% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Playford vs Adelaide City?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.