Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 05/09, 11:30
Prediction: Adelaide City vs Playford
Team pages: Adelaide City · Playford
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Adelaide City1.66
Playford0.76
1X2
Adelaide City
Draw
Playford
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Adelaide City
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Playford
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Adelaide City
5–1–0
Playford
(6 last)
- Playford1-2Adelaide City
- Adelaide City1-0Playford
- Playford0-0Adelaide City
- Adelaide City2-0Playford
- Playford3-4Adelaide City
- Playford0-2Adelaide City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adelaide City 1604 · Playford 1493
| Adelaide City | Draw | Playford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 26% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide City (rating 1604 vs 1493).
- H2H favours Adelaide City: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide City | Playford | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.3 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide City 5–1–0 Playford
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | Playford | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Adelaide City |
| 07/08/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Playford |
| 16/05/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | Playford | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Adelaide City |
| 21/06/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide City | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Playford |
| 22/03/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Playford | 3-4 HT 0-2 | Adelaide City |
| 04/02/25 Australia Friendlies | Playford | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Adelaide City |
Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide City | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 16 | 48 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 55 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Metrostars | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 23 | 44 |
| 4 | Playford | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 35 |
| 5 | White City FK Beograd | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 30 | 33 |
| 6 | Croydon FC | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 30 |
| 7 | Adelaide United NPL | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 29 |
| 8 | Campbelltown City | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 36 | 29 |
| 9 | Sturt Lions | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 36 | 27 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 44 | 25 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 38 | 20 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 22 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 103 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adelaide City | Playford |
|---|---|---|
| White City FK Beograd | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Campbelltown City | 4-0 W | 4-1 W |
| West Torrens Birkalla | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Para Hills Knights | 2-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Metrostars | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Adelaide City (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelaide City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
Playford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adelaide City vs Playford?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Adelaide City win (59%). Probabilities: Adelaide City 59%, draw 24%, Playford 17%.
How many goals are expected in Adelaide City vs Playford?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Adelaide City 1.66 · Playford 0.76), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Adelaide City vs Playford?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.