Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 05/09, 11:30

Prediction: West Torrens Birkalla vs Metrostars

Team pages: West Torrens Birkalla · Metrostars

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

West Torrens Birkalla1.6

Metrostars1.56

1X2

38% 26% 36%

West Torrens Birkalla Draw Metrostars

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

West Torrens Birkalla 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Metrostars 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

West Torrens Birkalla 1–2–3 Metrostars (6 last)

Metrostars2-2West Torrens Birkalla
Metrostars3-1West Torrens Birkalla
West Torrens Birkalla0-0Metrostars
Metrostars0-1West Torrens Birkalla
West Torrens Birkalla0-1Metrostars
West Torrens Birkalla0-5Metrostars

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · West Torrens Birkalla 1540 · Metrostars 1531

	West Torrens Birkalla	Draw	Metrostars
Our model	38%	26%	36%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Metrostars: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	West Torrens Birkalla	Metrostars
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.2	2.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.6	2.8 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 05:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.40▼	Bet365 2.40
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.65 ★
2	2.38 → 2.50▲	Pinn 2.51

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:14 +4’	2.50	3.40	2.38
10:08 +5’	2.30▼	3.40	2.55▲
13:28 +15’	2.40▲	3.40	2.45▼
05:22 +3’	2.40	3.40	2.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:13	2.24	3.66	2.68
13:43	2.36▲	3.65▼	2.54▼
19:28 +4’	2.37▲	3.65	2.53▼
05:26	2.38▲	3.65	2.51▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · West Torrens Birkalla 1–2–3 Metrostars

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Australia South Australia Premier League	Metrostars	2-2 HT 1-1	West Torrens Birkalla
04/07/26 Australia South Australia Premier League	Metrostars	3-1 HT 1-0	West Torrens Birkalla
10/04/26 Australia South Australia Premier League	West Torrens Birkalla	0-0 HT 0-0	Metrostars
05/07/25 Australia South Australia Premier League	Metrostars	0-1 HT 0-1	West Torrens Birkalla
11/04/25 Australia South Australia Premier League	West Torrens Birkalla	0-1 HT 0-0	Metrostars
31/05/23 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	West Torrens Birkalla	0-5 HT 0-3	Metrostars

Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide City	22	14	6	2	44	16	48
2	West Torrens Birkalla	22	15	2	5	55	27	47
3	Metrostars	22	13	5	4	53	23	44
4	Playford	22	10	5	7	42	31	35
5	White City FK Beograd	22	10	3	9	35	30	33
6	Croydon FC	22	8	6	8	46	41	30
7	Adelaide United NPL	22	7	8	7	33	32	29
8	Campbelltown City	22	8	5	9	35	36	29
9	Sturt Lions	22	8	3	11	35	36	27
10	West Adelaide	22	6	7	9	40	44	25
11	Adelaide Comets	22	5	5	12	25	38	20
12	Para Hills Knights	22	0	1	21	14	103	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	West Torrens Birkalla	Metrostars
Adelaide United NPL	2-1 W	1-1 D
West Adelaide	6-1 W	1-3 L
Playford	1-0 W	0-1 L
Adelaide City	0-1 L	0-3 L
Para Hills Knights	11-0 W	9-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: West Torrens Birkalla (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

West Torrens Birkalla

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League	1-1	2-2	12	4	D
15/08	Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League	1-1	2-1	7	0	W
07/08	West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	6-1	2	2	W
01/08	Playford Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
25/07	Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	0	L
17/07	Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League	4-0	11-0	8	2	W
04/07	Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
26/06	Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League	2-1	4-1	6	2	W
20/06	White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League	0-2	0-2	6	6	L
12/06	Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League	0-1	2-1	6	6	W

Metrostars

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
22/08	Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
15/08	Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
07/08	Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
01/08	Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
25/07	West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League	0-1	1-3	10	3	L
18/07	Playford Australia South Australia Premier League	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
04/07	West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
27/06	Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League	4-0	9-0	8	0	W
20/06	Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League	0-2	0-3	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in West Torrens Birkalla vs Metrostars?

According to our model, the most likely result is a West Torrens Birkalla win (38%). Probabilities: West Torrens Birkalla 38%, draw 26%, Metrostars 36%.

How many goals are expected in West Torrens Birkalla vs Metrostars?

The model expects 3.16 goals (West Torrens Birkalla 1.6 · Metrostars 1.56), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in West Torrens Birkalla vs Metrostars?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.