Football · Indonesia Championship · 03/10, 14:00

Prediction: PSIS Semarang vs Bekasi City

Team pages: PSIS Semarang · Bekasi City

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
PSIS Semarang2.27
Bekasi City0.79
1X2
70% 19% 11%
PSIS Semarang Draw Bekasi City
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
PSIS Semarang 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDWLDLWLWD
Bekasi City 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLDDWLWDLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PSIS Semarang 1515 · Bekasi City 1478
PSIS SemarangDrawBekasi City
Our model70%19%11%
Market71%18%11%
Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PSIS SemarangBekasi City
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.31.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.41.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.35.2 / 0.6

Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 PSMS Medan 4310 13210
2 Persikad 1999 FC 4301 679
3 Semen Padang 3210 416
4 PSIS Semarang 3210 426
5 PSPS Pekanbaru 3201 546
6 PSGC Ciamis 4202 556
7 Sumsel United 4112 573
8 Bekasi City 4013 251
9 Persiraja Aceh 4004 37-1
10 Persiku Kudus 3012 29-1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPSIS SemarangBekasi City
PSPS Pekanbaru 2-1 W 3-2 W
Persiku Kudus 3-3 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PSIS Semarang

WDWLDLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Semen Padang
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-1 57 D
11/09 PSPS Pekanbaru
Indonesia Championship
1-1 2-1 31 W
03/05 PSS Sleman
Indonesia Championship
0-1 0-3 –– L
25/04 Kendal Tornado
Indonesia Championship
0-0 1-0 55 W
18/04 Persipura Jayapura
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-3 26 L
11/04 Persiku Kudus
Indonesia Championship
2-0 3-3 –– D
05/04 PS Barito Putera
Indonesia Championship
0-1 0-1 911 L
29/03 Persipal Palu
Indonesia Championship
2-0 6-1 86 W
01/03 Persiba Balikpapan
Indonesia Championship
0-0 0-0 66 D
22/02 Deltras Sidoarjo
Indonesia Championship
1-0 1-0 57 W

Bekasi City

WLDDWLWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 PSMS Medan
Indonesia Championship
0-0 0-1 14 L
18/09 Persikad 1999 FC
Indonesia Championship
1-0 1-2 44 L
12/09 Persiku Kudus
Indonesia Championship
1-0 1-1 66 D
02/05 PSPS Pekanbaru
Indonesia Championship
1-1 3-2 –– W
25/04 Persikad 1999 FC
Indonesia Championship
1-3 2-3 26 L
18/04 Isenmulang Kalteng FC
Indonesia Championship
2-0 3-1 16 W
12/04 Sumsel United
Indonesia Championship
1-0 1-1 28 D
06/04 Persekat Kabupaten Tegal
Indonesia Championship
1-0 1-1 86 D
29/03 Garudayaksa
Indonesia Championship
0-1 0-4 54 L
28/02 PSMS Medan
Indonesia Championship
0-0 2-1 48 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PSIS Semarang vs Bekasi City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PSIS Semarang win (70%). Probabilities: PSIS Semarang 70%, draw 19%, Bekasi City 11%.

How many goals are expected in PSIS Semarang vs Bekasi City?

The model expects 3.06 goals (PSIS Semarang 2.27 · Bekasi City 0.79), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in PSIS Semarang vs Bekasi City?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.