Football · Indonesia Championship · 09/10, 14:00

Prediction: PSIS Semarang vs Persiraja Aceh

Team pages: PSIS Semarang · Persiraja Aceh

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
PSIS Semarang2.07
Persiraja Aceh0.96
1X2
62% 22% 16%
PSIS Semarang Draw Persiraja Aceh
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
PSIS Semarang 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWLDLWLWDW
Persiraja Aceh 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WWLDDDLLLL
Head-to-head
PSIS Semarang 2–0 Persiraja Aceh (2 last)
  • Persiraja Aceh0-1PSIS Semarang
  • PSIS Semarang3-1Persiraja Aceh
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PSIS Semarang 1513 · Persiraja Aceh 1454
PSIS SemarangDrawPersiraja Aceh
Our model62%22%16%
Market62%22%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSIS Semarang (rating 1513 vs 1454).
  • H2H favours PSIS Semarang: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PSIS SemarangPersiraja Aceh
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.31.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 5.61.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 0.33.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · PSIS Semarang 2–0–0 Persiraja Aceh

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
12/01/22
Indonesia Super League
Persiraja Aceh0-1
HT 0-0
PSIS Semarang
18/09/21
Indonesia Super League
PSIS Semarang3-1
HT 0-0
Persiraja Aceh

Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 PSMS Medan 4310 13210
2 PSIS Semarang 4310 729
3 Persikad 1999 FC 4301 679
4 PSPS Pekanbaru 4301 649
5 Semen Padang 4211 426
6 PSGC Ciamis 4202 556
7 Sumsel United 4112 573
8 Bekasi City 4013 251
9 Persiraja Aceh 4004 37-1
10 Persiku Kudus 4013 212-1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPSIS SemarangPersiraja Aceh
Semen Padang 1-1 D 0-1 L
PSPS Pekanbaru 2-1 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: PSIS Semarang (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PSIS Semarang

DWLDLWLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Bekasi City
Indonesia Championship
1-0 1-0 74 W
20/09 Semen Padang
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-1 57 D
11/09 PSPS Pekanbaru
Indonesia Championship
1-1 2-1 31 W
03/05 PSS Sleman
Indonesia Championship
0-1 0-3 –– L
25/04 Kendal Tornado
Indonesia Championship
0-0 1-0 55 W
18/04 Persipura Jayapura
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-3 26 L
11/04 Persiku Kudus
Indonesia Championship
2-0 3-3 –– D
05/04 PS Barito Putera
Indonesia Championship
0-1 0-1 911 L
29/03 Persipal Palu
Indonesia Championship
2-0 6-1 86 W
01/03 Persiba Balikpapan
Indonesia Championship
0-0 0-0 66 D

Persiraja Aceh

WWLDDDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/10 Sumsel United
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-2 23 L
26/09 Persikad 1999 FC
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-2 66 L
19/09 PSPS Pekanbaru
Indonesia Championship
0-2 1-2 34 L
13/09 Semen Padang
Indonesia Championship
0-0 0-1 53 L
02/05 PSMS Medan
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-1 –– D
26/04 Persekat Kabupaten Tegal
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-1 –– D
19/04 Garudayaksa
Indonesia Championship
0-1 2-2 –– D
12/04 Isenmulang Kalteng FC
Indonesia Championship
0-2 3-4 56 L
04/04 Sumsel United
Indonesia Championship
1-0 2-0 00 W
28/03 Sriwijaya
Indonesia Championship
0-0 2-1 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PSIS Semarang vs Persiraja Aceh?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PSIS Semarang win (62%). Probabilities: PSIS Semarang 62%, draw 22%, Persiraja Aceh 16%.

How many goals are expected in PSIS Semarang vs Persiraja Aceh?

The model expects 3.03 goals (PSIS Semarang 2.07 · Persiraja Aceh 0.96), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in PSIS Semarang vs Persiraja Aceh?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.