Football · Indonesia Championship · 10/10, 10:30

Prediction: Sumsel United vs Persiku Kudus

Team pages: Sumsel United · Persiku Kudus

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Sumsel United1.9
Persiku Kudus1.01
1X2
57% 24% 19%
Sumsel United Draw Persiku Kudus
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Sumsel United 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLDDLWDLLW
Persiku Kudus 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WDWDLLLDLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sumsel United 1466 · Persiku Kudus 1455
Sumsel UnitedDrawPersiku Kudus
Our model57%24%19%
Market57%24%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sumsel UnitedPersiku Kudus
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.71.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.2 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/10/40%0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.72.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.63.9 / 0.3

Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 PSMS Medan 4310 13210
2 PSIS Semarang 4310 729
3 Persikad 1999 FC 4301 679
4 PSPS Pekanbaru 4301 649
5 Semen Padang 4211 426
6 PSGC Ciamis 4202 556
7 Sumsel United 4112 573
8 Bekasi City 4013 251
9 Persiraja Aceh 4004 37-1
10 Persiku Kudus 4013 212-1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSumsel UnitedPersiku Kudus
PSGC Ciamis 0-2 L 1-2 L
PSMS Medan 2-2 D 0-6 L
Bekasi City 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sumsel United

LLDDLWDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/10 Persiraja Aceh
Indonesia Championship
1-0 2-1 43 W
26/09 PSPS Pekanbaru
Indonesia Championship
1-0 1-2 36 L
19/09 PSGC Ciamis
Indonesia Championship
0-1 0-2 75 L
13/09 PSMS Medan
Indonesia Championship
0-2 2-2 95 D
02/05 Persekat Kabupaten Tegal
Indonesia Championship
2-1 3-1 –– W
26/04 PSPS Pekanbaru
Indonesia Championship
0-0 0-2 –– L
18/04 Persikad 1999 FC
Indonesia Championship
1-0 1-1 –– D
12/04 Bekasi City
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-1 108 D
04/04 Persiraja Aceh
Indonesia Championship
0-1 0-2 10 L
28/03 Isenmulang Kalteng FC
Indonesia Championship
2-1 2-3 60 L

Persiku Kudus

WDWDLLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 PSGC Ciamis
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-2 35 L
20/09 PSMS Medan
Indonesia Championship
0-5 0-6 00 L
12/09 Bekasi City
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-1 36 D
03/05 Persipura Jayapura
Indonesia Championship
0-2 0-2 –– L
27/04 Deltras Sidoarjo
Indonesia Championship
1-1 1-2 84 L
20/04 PSS Sleman
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-2 12 L
11/04 PSIS Semarang
Indonesia Championship
0-2 3-3 –– D
04/04 Kendal Tornado
Indonesia Championship
0-0 1-0 54 W
29/03 PS Barito Putera
Indonesia Championship
0-0 1-1 07 D
27/02 Persipal Palu
Indonesia Championship
1-1 4-1 125 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sumsel United vs Persiku Kudus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sumsel United win (57%). Probabilities: Sumsel United 57%, draw 24%, Persiku Kudus 19%.

How many goals are expected in Sumsel United vs Persiku Kudus?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Sumsel United 1.9 · Persiku Kudus 1.01), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sumsel United vs Persiku Kudus?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.