Football · Indonesia Championship · 10/10, 14:00
Prediction: PS Barito Putera vs Persiba Balikpapan
Team pages: PS Barito Putera · Persiba Balikpapan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
PS Barito Putera2.01
Persiba Balikpapan1.04
1X2
PS Barito Putera
Draw
Persiba Balikpapan
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
PS Barito Putera
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Persiba Balikpapan
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PS Barito Putera
3–2–1
Persiba Balikpapan
(6 last)
- PS Barito Putera3-3Persiba Balikpapan
- Persiba Balikpapan1-0PS Barito Putera
- PS Barito Putera3-0Persiba Balikpapan
- Persiba Balikpapan2-3PS Barito Putera
- PS Barito Putera1-0Persiba Balikpapan
- Persiba Balikpapan1-1PS Barito Putera
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PS Barito Putera 1519 · Persiba Balikpapan 1432
| PS Barito Putera | Draw | Persiba Balikpapan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PS Barito Putera (rating 1519 vs 1432).
- H2H favours PS Barito Putera: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PS Barito Putera | Persiba Balikpapan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.3 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PS Barito Putera 3–2–1 Persiba Balikpapan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Indonesia Championship | PS Barito Putera | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Persiba Balikpapan |
| 24/01/26 Indonesia Championship | Persiba Balikpapan | 1-0 HT 1-0 | PS Barito Putera |
| 02/11/25 Indonesia Championship | PS Barito Putera | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Persiba Balikpapan |
| 20/10/17 Indonesia Super League | Persiba Balikpapan | 2-3 HT 0-1 | PS Barito Putera |
| 09/07/17 Indonesia Super League | PS Barito Putera | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Persiba Balikpapan |
| 12/12/16 Indonesia Super League | Persiba Balikpapan | 1-1 HT 1-1 | PS Barito Putera |
Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Persela Lamongan | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 3 | RANS Nusantara | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 7 |
| 4 | Kendal Tornado | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Persipura Jayapura | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 6 | PS Barito Putera | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 7 | Persis Solo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | De Red FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | Persiba Balikpapan | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -4 |
| 10 | PSBS Biak | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 23 | -4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PS Barito Putera | Persiba Balikpapan |
|---|---|---|
| Persela Lamongan | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Kendal Tornado | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Deltras Sidoarjo | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Persipura Jayapura | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| PSS Sleman | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: PS Barito Putera (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PS Barito Putera
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Persela Lamongan Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Deltras Sidoarjo Indonesia Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Persipura Jayapura Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Persipal Palu Indonesia Championship |
5-0 | 8-3 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Persela Lamongan Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Persiba Balikpapan Indonesia Championship |
2-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/04 | PSIS Semarang Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 11 | W |
| 29/03 | Persiku Kudus Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
Persiba Balikpapan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Deltras Sidoarjo Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/09 | De Red FC Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Persela Lamongan Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | RANS Nusantara Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Persekat Kabupaten Tegal Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Deltras Sidoarjo Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | PS Barito Putera Indonesia Championship |
1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Persipura Jayapura Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PS Barito Putera vs Persiba Balikpapan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PS Barito Putera win (59%). Probabilities: PS Barito Putera 59%, draw 22%, Persiba Balikpapan 18%.
How many goals are expected in PS Barito Putera vs Persiba Balikpapan?
The model expects 3.05 goals (PS Barito Putera 2.01 · Persiba Balikpapan 1.04), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in PS Barito Putera vs Persiba Balikpapan?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.