Prediction: Mbarara City vs Entebbe UPPC
Team pages: Mbarara City · Entebbe UPPC
- Entebbe UPPC1-0Mbarara City
- Mbarara City1-1Entebbe UPPC
- Mbarara City5-0Entebbe UPPC
- Entebbe UPPC2-1Mbarara City
- Entebbe UPPC1-0Mbarara City
- Mbarara City0-1Entebbe UPPC
| Mbarara City | Draw | Entebbe UPPC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 33% | 41% |
| Market | 26% | 32% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Entebbe UPPC (rating 1465 vs 1517).
- H2H favours Entebbe UPPC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mbarara City | Entebbe UPPC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.2 | 1 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mbarara City 1–1–4 Entebbe UPPC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 Uganda Premier League | Entebbe UPPC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mbarara City |
| 03/12/25 Uganda Premier League | Mbarara City | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Entebbe UPPC |
| 13/03/24 Uganda Premier League | Mbarara City | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Entebbe UPPC |
| 11/11/23 Uganda Premier League | Entebbe UPPC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Mbarara City |
| 20/02/22 Uganda Premier League | Entebbe UPPC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mbarara City |
| 29/12/21 Uganda Premier League | Mbarara City | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Entebbe UPPC |
Standings · Uganda Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Blacks Power | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | NEC FC Bugolobi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | SC Villa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Lugazi FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Uganda Police FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | URA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Express FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Maroons | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | UPDF FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | Kigezi Homeboyz FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | KCCA | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 | Kitara FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Mbarara City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Kataka FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Vipers SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Ntugasaze FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mbarara City | Entebbe UPPC |
|---|---|---|
| Uganda Police FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| KCCA | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Lugazi FC | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Maroons | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Entebbe UPPC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mbarara City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | NEC FC Bugolobi Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | KCCA Uganda Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/05 | Buhimba United Saints FC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | SC Villa Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | Lugazi FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 28/04 | Express FC Uganda Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | NEC FC Bugolobi Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/04 | Maroons Uganda Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/04 | Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Entebbe UPPC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Lugazi FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/09 | UPDF FC Uganda Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Vipers SC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | BUL FC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/05 | Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 12/05 | Maroons Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | UPDF FC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | FC Calvary Uganda Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Vipers SC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/04 | KCCA Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mbarara City vs Entebbe UPPC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Entebbe UPPC win (41%). Probabilities: Mbarara City 26%, draw 32%, Entebbe UPPC 41%.
How many goals are expected in Mbarara City vs Entebbe UPPC?
The model expects 2.03 goals (Mbarara City 0.87 · Entebbe UPPC 1.16), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Mbarara City vs Entebbe UPPC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.