Prediction: Express FC vs Kitara FC
Team pages: Express FC · Kitara FC
- Express FC3-2Kitara FC
- Kitara FC3-0Express FC
- Kitara FC1-0Express FC
- Kitara FC0-1Express FC
- Express FC1-0Kitara FC
- Kitara FC7-0Express FC
| Express FC | Draw | Kitara FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 32% | 48% |
| Market | 21% | 30% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kitara FC (rating 1467 vs 1532).
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Express FC | Kitara FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 2.6 | 1.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Express FC 3–0–3 Kitara FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/26 Uganda Premier League | Express FC | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Kitara FC |
| 05/04/26 Uganda Cup | Kitara FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Express FC |
| 28/01/26 Uganda Premier League | Kitara FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Express FC |
| 13/09/25 Uganda Super 8 | Kitara FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Express FC |
| 06/05/25 Uganda Premier League | Express FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kitara FC |
| 21/12/24 Uganda Premier League | Kitara FC | 7-0 HT 3-0 | Express FC |
Standings · Uganda Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Blacks Power | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | NEC FC Bugolobi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | SC Villa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Lugazi FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Uganda Police FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | URA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Express FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Maroons | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | UPDF FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | Kigezi Homeboyz FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | KCCA | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 | Kitara FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Mbarara City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Kataka FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Vipers SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Ntugasaze FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Express FC | Kitara FC |
|---|---|---|
| SC Villa | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| KCCA | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| BUL FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Vipers SC | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Lugazi FC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| NEC FC Bugolobi | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Kitara FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Express FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | SC Villa Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/09 | KCCA Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | BUL FC Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Vipers SC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 19/05 | Lugazi FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/05 | Kitara FC Uganda Premier League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Buhimba United Saints FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/04 | Mbarara City Uganda Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | BUL FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | NEC FC Bugolobi Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
Kitara FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | SC Villa Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 19/05 | BUL FC Uganda Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 12/05 | Express FC Uganda Premier League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | NEC FC Bugolobi Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 30/04 | SC Villa Uganda Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Lugazi FC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 22/04 | FC Calvary Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 17/04 | KCCA Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 10/04 | Vipers SC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Express FC vs Kitara FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kitara FC win (49%). Probabilities: Express FC 20%, draw 31%, Kitara FC 49%.
How many goals are expected in Express FC vs Kitara FC?
The model expects 1.92 goals (Express FC 0.68 · Kitara FC 1.24), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Express FC vs Kitara FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.