Prediction: Maroons vs Lugazi FC
Team pages: Maroons · Lugazi FC
- Lugazi FC0-1Maroons
- Maroons3-0Lugazi FC
- Lugazi FC0-1Maroons
- Maroons1-0Lugazi FC
| Maroons | Draw | Lugazi FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| Market | 49% | 30% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Maroons: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maroons | Lugazi FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.3 | 1.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maroons 4–0–0 Lugazi FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Uganda Premier League | Lugazi FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Maroons |
| 25/11/25 Uganda Premier League | Maroons | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Lugazi FC |
| 28/03/25 Uganda Premier League | Lugazi FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Maroons |
| 06/10/24 Uganda Premier League | Maroons | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lugazi FC |
Standings · Uganda Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC FC Bugolobi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Blacks Power | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Uganda Police FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Lugazi FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | UPDF FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Express FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | KCCA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | URA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Vipers SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Maroons | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Kitara FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | Mbarara City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 16 | Kataka FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | Kigezi Homeboyz FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 18 | Ntugasaze FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maroons | Lugazi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Entebbe UPPC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Uganda Police FC | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maroons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | UPDF FC Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/09 | Blacks Power Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Ntugasaze FC Uganda Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | URA Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Lugazi FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/05 | Vipers SC Uganda Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/05 | Entebbe UPPC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | KCCA Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 28/04 | URA Uganda Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
Lugazi FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/09 | Entebbe UPPC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/09 | NEC FC Bugolobi Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Kigezi Homeboyz FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Maroons Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/05 | Express FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 12/05 | BUL FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 06/05 | Mbarara City Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 29/04 | Buhimba United Saints FC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Kitara FC Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maroons vs Lugazi FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maroons win (49%). Probabilities: Maroons 49%, draw 30%, Lugazi FC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Maroons vs Lugazi FC?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Maroons 1.45 · Lugazi FC 0.88), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Maroons vs Lugazi FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.