Prediction: URA vs KCCA
- URA0-0KCCA
- URA2-2KCCA
- KCCA2-1URA
- URA1-0KCCA
- KCCA1-0URA
- URA1-0KCCA
| URA | Draw | KCCA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 33% | 40% |
| Market | 28% | 31% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KCCA (rating 1471 vs 1538).
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| URA | KCCA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.5 | 2.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · URA 2–2–2 KCCA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 Uganda Premier League | URA | 0-0 HT 0-0 | KCCA |
| 04/04/26 Uganda Cup | URA | 2-2 HT 0-1 | KCCA |
| 21/11/25 Uganda Premier League | KCCA | 2-1 HT 2-0 | URA |
| 16/04/25 Uganda Premier League | URA | 1-0 HT 0-0 | KCCA |
| 13/09/24 Uganda Premier League | KCCA | 1-0 HT 1-0 | URA |
| 11/05/24 Uganda Premier League | URA | 1-0 HT 0-0 | KCCA |
Standings · Uganda Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | SC Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | NEC FC Bugolobi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Blacks Power | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Uganda Police FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Lugazi FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Kitara FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | UPDF FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Express FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | KCCA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Vipers SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | URA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Ntugasaze FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 17 | Kataka FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi Homeboyz FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | URA | KCCA |
|---|---|---|
| NEC FC Bugolobi | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Maroons | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Calvary | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Vipers SC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| UPDF FC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: KCCA (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
URA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | NEC FC Bugolobi Uganda Premier League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | SC Villa Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Maroons Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Buhimba United Saints FC Uganda Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | KCCA Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 12/05 | FC Calvary Uganda Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 08/05 | Vipers SC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 28/04 | Maroons Uganda Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | UPDF FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 21/04 | Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
KCCA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Kataka FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/09 | Kigezi Homeboyz FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 03/09 | Express FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | NEC FC Bugolobi Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Mbarara City Uganda Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/05 | URA Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | UPDF FC Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 07/05 | Maroons Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Vipers SC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | FC Calvary Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in URA vs KCCA?
According to our model, the most likely result is an KCCA win (40%). Probabilities: URA 28%, draw 32%, KCCA 40%.
How many goals are expected in URA vs KCCA?
The model expects 2.05 goals (URA 0.9 · KCCA 1.15), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in URA vs KCCA?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.