Prediction: Mbarara City vs Vipers SC
Team pages: Mbarara City · Vipers SC
- Mbarara City1-2Vipers SC
- Vipers SC2-0Mbarara City
- Vipers SC1-0Mbarara City
- Vipers SC2-0Mbarara City
- Mbarara City1-3Vipers SC
- Vipers SC4-1Mbarara City
| Mbarara City | Draw | Vipers SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 26% | 62% |
| Market | 14% | 23% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vipers SC (rating 1456 vs 1573).
- H2H favours Vipers SC: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mbarara City | Vipers SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.4 | 3.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mbarara City 0–0–6 Vipers SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Uganda Premier League | Mbarara City | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Vipers SC |
| 06/01/26 Uganda Premier League | Vipers SC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Mbarara City |
| 02/03/25 Uganda Premier League | Vipers SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mbarara City |
| 20/02/25 Uganda Cup | Vipers SC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Mbarara City |
| 29/10/24 Uganda Premier League | Mbarara City | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Vipers SC |
| 18/05/24 Uganda Premier League | Vipers SC | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Mbarara City |
Standings · Uganda Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL FC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
| 2 | SC Villa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 18 |
| 3 | NEC FC Bugolobi | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Vipers SC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Uganda Police FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 11 |
| 8 | Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | KCCA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 | Kitara FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | UPDF FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| 12 | Lugazi FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | Express FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | URA | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
| 15 | Mbarara City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| 16 | Kataka FC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 3 |
| 17 | Ntugasaze FC | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 3 |
| 18 | Kigezi Homeboyz FC | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mbarara City | Vipers SC |
|---|---|---|
| Blacks Power | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Ntugasaze FC | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Entebbe UPPC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Uganda Police FC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Vipers SC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mbarara City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | SC Villa Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Blacks Power Uganda Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 07/10 | Ntugasaze FC Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/09 | Entebbe UPPC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | NEC FC Bugolobi Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | KCCA Uganda Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/05 | Buhimba United Saints FC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | SC Villa Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | Lugazi FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
Vipers SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 15/10 | Kataka FC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Maroons Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 08/10 | Blacks Power Uganda Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Ntugasaze FC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Entebbe UPPC Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Express FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 19/05 | Maroons Uganda Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 08/05 | URA Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mbarara City vs Vipers SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vipers SC win (63%). Probabilities: Mbarara City 13%, draw 24%, Vipers SC 63%.
How many goals are expected in Mbarara City vs Vipers SC?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Mbarara City 0.62 · Vipers SC 1.68), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mbarara City vs Vipers SC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.